Africa Cup of Nations 2025, Round of 16 · 4 Jan 2026

Morocco 1–0 Tanzania

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Morocco favourites at 80%.

Morocco won a close one on the chances: 1.0 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ibrahim Hamad, 73.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Ibrahim Hamad +22.1, Alphonce Msanga +19.7, Abdessamad Ezzalzouli +10.7.

Well below it: Ayoub El Kaabi −8.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

29 Dec 2025	W 3–0	at Zambia Africa Cup of Nations
26 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Mali Africa Cup of Nations
21 Dec 2025	W 2–0	v Comoros Africa Cup of Nations
18 Nov 2025	W 4–0	v Uganda International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025	W 1–0	v Mozambique International Friendlies

30 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Tunisia Africa Cup of Nations
27 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Uganda Africa Cup of Nations
23 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Nigeria Africa Cup of Nations
15 Nov 2025	L 3–4	at Kuwait International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025	L 0–2	at Iran International Friendlies

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli Midfielder	90	0	0	0.16	63.6	+10.7
Achraf Hakimi Defender	90	0	1	0.04	61.1	+2.9
Nayef Aguerd Defender	90	0	0	–	58.7	+5.0
Noussair Mazraoui Defender	76	0	0	–	57.6	+8.6
Brahim Díaz Midfielder	86	1	0	0.28	56.2	−3.9
Bilal El Khannouss Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	53.2	−2.0
Adam Masina Defender	90	0	0	–	51.1	+1.4
Eliesse Ben Seghir Forward	13	0	0	–	50.9	–
Yassine Bounou Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.7	+0.6
Ismael Saibari Midfielder	77	0	0	0.02	44.6	−2.8
Youssef En-Nesyri Forward	13	0	0	–	44.5	–
Ayoub El Kaabi Forward	77	0	0	0.44	44.3	−8.6
Neil El Aynaoui Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	43.6	−6.2
Anass Salah-Eddine Defender	14	0	0	–	34.6	–
Oussama Targhalline Midfielder	11	0	0	–	26.5	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Ibrahim Hamad Defender	90	–	73.5	+22.1
Selemani Mwalimu Forward	66	–	67.8	–
Alphonce Msanga Midfielder	83	–	62.9	+19.7
Simon Msuva Forward	73	0.26	54.3	+5.4
Feisal Salum Toto Midfielder	90	0.24	49.9	–
Novatus Miroshi Midfielder	90	0.06	46.5	−0.7
Charles M'Mombwa Midfielder	17	–	45.8	–
Mohamed Hussein Defender	73	0.01	45.0	+2.8
Hussein Masaranga Midfielder	90	–	44.1	–
Haji Mnoga Midfielder	72	–	42.6	+7.4
Ally Samatta Forward	24	–	41.7	–
Dickson Job Defender	90	–	39.8	–
Bakari Mwamnyeto Defender	90	–	39.2	−6.0
Tarryn Allarakhia Midfielder	17	–	37.2	–
Shomari Kapombe Defender	18	–	31.9	–
Iddy Seleman Nado Defender	14	–	30.5	–