FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 12 Apr 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.6 – 1.1
Actual xG
0.6 – 0.6
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made 1. FSV Mainz 05 favourites at 49%.

SC Freiburg won a close one on the chances: 0.6 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Philipp Lienhart, 64.0 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Danny da Costa +13.8, Noah Atubolu +11.5, Matthias Ginter +11.5.

Well below it: Paul Nebel −12.1, Sheraldo Becker −9.9, Kaishu Sano −9.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

1. FSV Mainz 05

9 Apr 2026W 2–0v RC Strasbourg Conference League
4 Apr 2026W 2–1at TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026W 2–1v Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026W 2–0v SK Sigma Olomouc Conference League
15 Mar 2026W 2–0at SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga

SC Freiburg

9 Apr 2026W 3–0v Celta Vigo Europa League
4 Apr 2026L 2–3v FC Bayern München Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026W 2–1at FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026W 5–1v KRC Genk Europa League
15 Mar 2026L 0–1v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga

Head to head

30 Nov 2025SC Freiburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga

1. FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Danny da Costa Defender83000.0656.2+13.8
Armindo Sieb Forward16000.0453.3–
Stefan Posch Defender90000.0251.5+2.8
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper9000–50.5−2.1
Nelson Weiper Forward1500–43.0–
Silvan Widmer Midfielder28000.1842.4–
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder7400–42.4+1.9
Sheraldo Becker Forward90000.1641.9−9.9
Phillip Tietz Forward90000.0240.8−5.1
Paul Nebel Midfielder7400–40.1−12.1
Kaishu Sano Midfielder9000–38.6−9.7
Sota Kawasaki Midfielder6200–38.0−5.4
Nadiem Amiri Midfielder2800–37.5–
Dominik Kohr Defender90000.1336.5−8.5
Nikolas Veratschnig Defender62000.0432.9−6.4
Anthony Caci Midfielder1600–29.4–

SC Freiburg

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jordy Makengo Defender1500–70.6–
Philipp Lienhart Defender4500–64.0+9.9
Matthias Ginter Defender83010.0263.9+11.5
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper9000–61.4+11.5
Jan-Niklas Beste Midfielder2600–58.2–
Derry Scherhant Forward74000.0256.4+10.4
Lukas Kübler Defender6400–52.9+2.2
Lucas Höler Forward90100.0951.8+5.6
Johan Manzambi Midfielder90000.3651.3+1.2
Cyriaque Irié Midfielder6400–49.7−2.1
Vincenzo Grifo Midfielder1600–47.0–
Bruno Ogbus Defender4500–45.7−0.1
Igor Matanović Forward90000.1043.8−5.4
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder9000–42.4−4.4
Christian Günter Defender9000–40.3+1.4
Philipp Treu Defender2600–33.0–