Championship 25/26 · 25 Apr 2026

Middlesbrough 5–1 Watford

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Middlesbrough favourites at 57%.

Middlesbrough won and made the better chances: 2.2 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Matt Targett, 69.4 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Morgan Whittaker +31.1, Matt Targett +28.8, Marc Bola +12.4.

Well below it: Egil Selvik −23.3, Jeremy Sarmiento −11.1, Alex Bangura −8.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

22 Apr 2026	W 1–0	v Sheffield Wednesday Championship
19 Apr 2026	D 2–2	at Ipswich Town Championship
11 Apr 2026	L 0–1	v Portsmouth Championship
6 Apr 2026	D 2–2	at Swansea City Championship
3 Apr 2026	L 1–2	v Millwall Championship

21 Apr 2026	L 0–3	at West Bromwich Albion Championship
18 Apr 2026	L 0–2	v Sheffield United Championship
11 Apr 2026	L 0–2	at Oxford United Championship
6 Apr 2026	D 1–1	v Charlton Athletic Championship
3 Apr 2026	L 1–2	at Queens Park Rangers Championship

1 Nov 2025	Watford 3–0 Middlesbrough Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Tommy Conway Forward	27	2	0	1.08	100.0	–
Matt Targett Defender	45	0	0	–	69.4	+28.8
Morgan Whittaker Midfielder	63	2	1	0.47	66.6	+31.1
Solomon Brynn Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	46.5	−0.6
David Strelec Forward	90	1	1	0.42	45.8	+2.1
Adilson Malanda Defender	63	0	0	–	44.7	−0.5
Aidan Morris Midfielder	90	0	0	0.01	44.3	−7.1
Luke Ayling Defender	90	0	0	0.01	42.6	+0.5
Dael Fry Defender	27	0	0	–	41.7	–
Callum Brittain Defender	90	0	0	0.01	39.1	+3.7
Sontje Hansen Forward	64	0	0	0.07	38.9	−0.0
Alexander Gilbert Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	37.6	−6.2
Leo Castledine Midfielder	26	0	0	0.07	35.2	–
Jeremy Sarmiento Midfielder	83	0	0	–	34.6	−11.1
Alex Bangura Defender	45	0	0	–	31.2	−8.4
Samuel Silvera Midfielder	14	0	0	–	30.1	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Imrân Louza Midfielder	90	0	0	0.15	53.8	+12.3
Edo Kayembe Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	53.4	+11.1
Jack Grieves Midfielder	27	0	0	–	51.5	–
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward	63	0	0	0.31	47.9	+6.1
Marc Bola Defender	82	0	0	0.02	47.0	+12.4
Mamadou Doumbia Forward	28	0	0	–	45.8	–
James Abankwah Defender	90	1	0	0.19	45.5	+10.8
Tom Ince Midfielder	8	0	0	–	44.1	–
Matthew Pollock Defender	90	0	0	–	43.8	+4.9
Kévin Keben Biakolo Defender	90	0	1	–	41.7	+3.9
Edoardo Bove Midfielder	62	0	0	–	41.0	–
Jeremy Ngakia Defender	62	0	0	–	40.3	+6.7
Nampalys Mendy Midfielder	63	0	0	–	39.7	+0.1
Nestory Irankunda Forward	27	0	0	–	36.3	–
Othmane Maamma Midfielder	28	0	0	–	29.3	–
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	28.0	−23.3