Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Watford
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.2 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 2.4 – 0.3
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Queens Park Rangers favourites at 44%.
Queens Park Rangers won and made the better chances: 2.4 xG to 0.3.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Paul Smyth, 61.4 in 72′.
Well above their usual level: Paul Smyth +27.1, Rayan Kolli +19.1.
Well below it: Richard Kone −14.3, Matthew Pollock −10.9.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Queens Park Rangers
| 21 Mar 2026 | W 6–1 | v Portsmouth |
| 14 Mar 2026 | W 3–1 | at Leicester City |
| 11 Mar 2026 | L 0–1 | at Birmingham City |
| 8 Mar 2026 | L 0–4 | v Middlesbrough |
| 28 Feb 2026 | L 0–2 | v Sheffield United |
Watford
| 21 Mar 2026 | D 0–0 | v Leicester City |
| 17 Mar 2026 | W 3–1 | v Wrexham |
| 14 Mar 2026 | L 1–3 | at Stoke City |
| 10 Mar 2026 | D 1–1 | at Sheffield Wednesday |
| 27 Feb 2026 | W 2–1 | at Bristol City |
Head to head
| 16 Aug 2025 | Watford 2–1 Queens Park Rangers |
Queens Park Rangers
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Smyth | 72 | 61.4 | +27.1 |
| Rayan Kolli | 45 | 59.0 | +19.1 |
| Joe Walsh | 90 | 47.1 | +1.1 |
| Ronnie Edwards | 90 | 41.3 | +5.3 |
| Jonathan Varane | 90 | 35.2 | +0.4 |
| Kieran Morgan | 90 | 34.7 | +2.2 |
| Jimmy Dunne | 90 | 34.4 | −7.0 |
| Koki Saito | 18 | 33.3 | – |
| Daniel Bennie | 45 | 32.4 | −3.4 |
| Harvey Vale | 79 | 31.7 | +0.9 |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | 90 | 24.4 | −1.6 |
| Richard Kone | 90 | 23.5 | −14.3 |
| Kwame Poku | 11 | 23.2 | – |
| Amadou Salif Mbengue | 90 | 22.4 | +1.2 |
Watford
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egil Selvik | 90 | 55.3 | +2.2 |
| Nampalys Mendy | 33 | 47.0 | – |
| Vivaldo | 12 | 41.9 | – |
| Mamadou Doumbia | 33 | 39.9 | – |
| Nestory Irankunda | 57 | 37.6 | +1.9 |
| Jeremy Petris | 90 | 37.4 | −1.1 |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 90 | 36.9 | −1.5 |
| Imrân Louza | 90 | 36.9 | +1.1 |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | 72 | 35.7 | −0.2 |
| Saba Goglichidze | 85 | 32.7 | −6.8 |
| Kévin Keben Biakolo | 90 | 32.7 | −5.2 |
| Pierre Ekwah | 57 | 31.4 | – |
| Edoardo Bove | 57 | 30.2 | – |
| Matthew Pollock | 90 | 28.1 | −10.9 |
| Amin Nabizada | 33 | 17.7 | – |
| Kwadwo Baah | 18 | 13.5 | – |