Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 25 Apr 2026

Queens Park Rangers 2–3 Derby County

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.3 – 0.9
Actual xG
2.3 – 0.9
Goals
2 – 3

Footybot made Queens Park Rangers favourites at 45%.

Derby County won although Queens Park Rangers made the better chances (2.3 xG to 0.9): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jacob Widell Zetterström, 68.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Matt Clarke +20.0, Jacob Widell Zetterström +16.5, Oscar Fraulo +14.2.

Well below it: Paul Nardi −18.3, Carlton Morris −17.4, Sammie Szmodics −10.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Queens Park Rangers

21 Apr 2026L 1–2v Swansea City Championship
18 Apr 2026L 0–2at Millwall Championship
11 Apr 2026D 0–0v Bristol City Championship
6 Apr 2026D 1–1at Preston North End Championship
3 Apr 2026W 2–1v Watford Championship

Derby County

21 Apr 2026L 1–2at Norwich City Championship
18 Apr 2026W 1–0v Oxford United Championship
11 Apr 2026L 1–2at Southampton Championship
6 Apr 2026W 2–0v Stoke City Championship
3 Apr 2026L 2–3at Coventry City Championship

Head to head

25 Oct 2025Derby County 1–0 Queens Park Rangers Championship

Queens Park Rangers

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Richard Kone Forward68100.6343.7+9.3
Daniel Bennie Forward62010.0942.8+7.5
Harvey Vale Midfielder90110.8840.1+10.1
Kieran Morgan Midfielder62000.0736.0+3.4
Jonathan Varane Midfielder90000.0435.5+1.4
Jake Clarke-Salter Defender9000–35.3−5.0
Koki Saito Midfielder1100–34.9–
Kealey Adamson Defender4500–33.0–
Paul Smyth Midfielder79000.2930.5−6.2
Ronnie Edwards Defender90000.3329.9−10.5
Nicolas Madsen Midfielder2800–28.8–
Paul Nardi Goalkeeper9000–28.8−18.3
Rumarn Burrell Forward2800–27.8–
Amadou Salif Mbengue Defender45000.0122.7−1.7
Rhys Norrington-Davies Defender9000–19.1−8.1
Ilias Chair Midfielder22000.0115.5–

Derby County

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper9000–68.6+16.5
Matt Clarke Defender90010.1058.8+20.0
Jaydon Banel Midfielder29100.0757.6–
Oscar Fraulo Midfielder62100.0452.2+14.2
Danny Batth Defender900–51.8–
Joe Ward Midfielder9001–41.1+9.5
Sondre Langås Defender90100.2639.7+4.3
Dion Sanderson Defender6100–38.9+1.1
David Ozoh Midfielder28000.0837.5–
Lewis Travis Midfielder7500–35.4+0.2
Carlton Morris Forward90000.0631.3−17.4
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Forward15000.2130.4–
Ben Brereton Díaz Midfielder9000–29.2−4.2
Sammie Szmodics Midfielder8900–27.7−10.5
Craig Forsyth Defender2900–24.6–
Max Johnston Defender61010.0421.6−5.1