Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 11 Apr 2026

Southampton 2–1 Derby County

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.7 – 0.8
Actual xG
1.7 – 0.9
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made Southampton favourites at 59%.

Southampton won and made the better chances: 1.7 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Richard O'Donnell, 50.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Caspar Jander +10.0, Jack Stephens +8.8.

Well below it: Finn Azaz −18.7, Tom Fellows −16.2, Matt Clarke −15.4.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Southampton

7 Apr 2026W 5–1at Wrexham Championship
21 Mar 2026W 2–0v Oxford United Championship
18 Mar 2026W 1–0v Norwich City Championship
14 Mar 2026W 2–1at Coventry City Championship
11 Mar 2026D 1–1at West Bromwich Albion Championship

Derby County

6 Apr 2026W 2–0v Stoke City Championship
3 Apr 2026L 2–3at Coventry City Championship
21 Mar 2026W 1–0v Birmingham City Championship
16 Mar 2026W 1–0at Portsmouth Championship
10 Mar 2026L 0–1at Millwall Championship

Head to head

4 Oct 2025Derby County 1–1 Southampton Championship

Southampton

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper9000–50.5−1.9
Jack Stephens Defender9000–49.6+8.8
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Defender90100.1148.8+4.4
Caspar Jander Midfielder9000–47.5+10.0
Ryan Manning Midfielder90010.0243.4+4.4
Flynn Downes Midfielder9000–38.5−4.9
Leo Scienza Midfielder75100.0934.0−2.7
Ross Stewart Forward6400–33.2−11.9
Nathan Wood Defender900–32.1–
Cyle Larin Forward26000.2230.8–
James Bree Defender87000.2030.4−1.5
Kuryu Matsuki Midfielder2600–23.5–
Tom Fellows Midfielder64000.3823.3−16.2
Shea Charles Midfielder1500–20.3–
Finn Azaz Midfielder75010.6419.1−18.7
Samuel Edozie Midfielder15000.0711.4–

Derby County

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Richard O'Donnell Goalkeeper9000–50.6−2.9
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Forward1200–45.0–
Carlton Morris Forward90100.7643.2−6.8
Oscar Fraulo Midfielder8100–40.2–
Owen Eames Midfielder2400–39.5–
Bobby Clark Midfielder900–39.2–
Jaydon Banel Midfielder66000.0936.1+4.4
David Ozoh Midfielder6700–35.7−4.2
Lewis Travis Midfielder8400–35.5+1.0
Dion Sanderson Defender9000–35.1−2.4
Sammie Szmodics Midfielder90000.0534.3−4.0
Joe Ward Midfielder9000–33.7+1.2
Sondre Langås Defender2300–30.6–
Max Johnston Defender67000.0230.0+3.1
Matt Clarke Defender9000–27.5−15.4
Craig Forsyth Defender2300–0.0–