Bundesliga 25/26 · 16 May 2026

SC Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Apr 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made SC Freiburg favourites at 48%.

SC Freiburg won a close one on the chances: 1.5 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Castello Lukeba, 67.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Castello Lukeba +17.0, Matthias Ginter +14.7, Brajan Gruda +12.5.

Well below it: Péter Gulácsi −22.3, Philipp Lienhart −18.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

10 May 2026	L 2–3	at Hamburger SV Bundesliga
7 May 2026	W 3–1	v Sporting Braga Europa League
3 May 2026	D 1–1	v VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
30 Apr 2026	L 1–2	at Sporting Braga Europa League
26 Apr 2026	L 0–4	at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga

9 May 2026	W 2–1	v FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
2 May 2026	L 1–4	at Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
24 Apr 2026	W 3–1	v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026	W 3–1	at Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026	W 1–0	v Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga

14 Jan 2026	RB Leipzig 2–0 SC Freiburg Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Matthias Ginter Defender	72	1	0	0.26	64.4	+14.7
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	60.5	+11.2
Igor Matanović Forward	86	1	1	0.12	60.3	+7.8
Bruno Ogbus Defender	18	0	0	–	60.1	–
Johan Manzambi Midfielder	72	0	1	0.07	53.9	+5.4
Derry Scherhant Forward	90	1	0	0.35	50.4	+3.6
Jordy Makengo Defender	90	0	1	–	50.1	+6.6
Jan-Niklas Beste Midfielder	60	1	0	0.56	49.1	−2.6
Lucas Höler Forward	18	0	0	0.05	46.8	–
Nicolas Höfler Midfielder	60	0	0	–	43.4	−1.0
Vincenzo Grifo Midfielder	30	0	0	–	43.2	–
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder	90	0	0	–	40.7	−4.3
Philipp Treu Defender	90	0	0	0.14	39.5	−5.1
Lukas Kübler Defender	30	0	0	–	36.5	–
Philipp Lienhart Defender	90	0	0	–	34.2	−18.2
Maximilian Philipp Forward	9	0	0	–	25.4	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Johan Bakayoko Forward	10	0	0	–	95.4	–
Castello Lukeba Defender	90	0	0	–	67.4	+17.0
Brajan Gruda Midfielder	63	0	0	0.05	63.4	+12.5
Willi Orbán Defender	90	0	0	–	61.7	+0.6
Ridle Baku Defender	27	0	0	0.10	58.7	–
Max Finkgräfe Defender	90	0	0	–	55.2	+3.4
Antonio Nusa Forward	27	0	0	0.07	52.1	–
Yan Diomande Forward	80	0	1	0.51	50.4	−3.8
Assan Ouédraogo Midfielder	90	1	0	0.08	50.2	+1.3
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder	73	0	0	–	49.4	+3.6
Christoph Baumgartner Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	44.1	−2.5
Conrad Harder Forward	73	0	0	0.12	43.4	−2.1
Rômulo Forward	17	0	0	0.14	41.8	–
Benjamin Henrichs Defender	63	0	0	–	35.6	−0.4
Tidiam Gomis Forward	17	0	0	–	34.0	–
Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	25.5	−22.3