Championship 26/27 · 22 Aug 2026

Wrexham 1–1 Watford

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jul 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Wrexham favourites at 50%.

Wrexham deserved more from the draw, creating 1.6 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Luca Kjerrumgaard, 53.9 in 67′.

Well above their usual level: Luca Kjerrumgaard +14.1, Matthew Pollock +12.5, Daniel Imray +12.5.

Well below it: Jordan Zemura −9.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

17 Aug 2026	D 1–1	at Cardiff City Championship
7 Aug 2026	L 0–1	at Middlesbrough EFL Cup
2 May 2026	D 2–2	v Middlesbrough Championship
26 Apr 2026	L 1–3	at Coventry City Championship
21 Apr 2026	W 1–0	at Oxford United Championship

16 Aug 2026	W 2–1	v Southampton Championship
8 Aug 2026	W 1–0	v Crawley Town EFL Cup
2 May 2026	L 0–4	v Coventry City Championship
25 Apr 2026	L 1–5	at Middlesbrough Championship
21 Apr 2026	L 0–3	at West Bromwich Albion Championship

17 Mar 2026	Watford 3–1 Wrexham Championship
13 Dec 2025	Wrexham 2–2 Watford Championship

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Matty James Midfielder	12	0	–	51.5	–
Oliver Rathbone Forward	70	0	0.15	50.3	+9.0
Anthony Patterson Goalkeeper	90	0	–	48.0	−4.2
Dominic Hyam Defender	90	0	0.03	46.3	+3.6
Lewis O'Brien Midfielder	90	0	0.13	44.0	+6.2
Ryan Longman Midfielder	12	0	–	42.8	–
Kieffer Moore Forward	63	0	0.14	40.6	+0.6
Nathan Broadhead Forward	78	0	–	40.1	−2.0
Sam Smith Forward	27	0	–	37.9	–
Daniel Imray Defender	78	1	0.54	36.9	+12.5
Ben Whiteman Midfielder	90	0	0.10	36.1	+0.7
Callum Doyle Defender	90	0	0.30	34.9	−2.8
Bailey Cadamarteri Forward	20	0	–	34.9	–
George Thomason Midfielder	89	0	0.20	31.7	−5.3
Zak Vyner Defender	90	0	–	21.3	−6.4
Max Cleworth Defender	1	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward	67	1	0	0.14	53.9	+14.1
Martín Payero Midfielder	32	0	0	0.07	50.2	–
Matthew Pollock Defender	90	0	0	0.06	47.7	+12.5
Hector Kyprianou Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.3	+5.0
Iker Bravo Forward	90	0	0	0.06	46.1	−5.9
Kévin Keben Biakolo Defender	90	0	0	–	45.6	+10.1
Federico Ravaglia Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	45.1	−0.3
Amin Nabizada Forward	67	0	0	0.07	40.8	−3.7
Omar Haktab Traore Defender	44	0	1	–	40.6	–
Edo Kayembe Midfielder	23	0	0	–	40.0	–
Edoardo Bove Midfielder	67	0	0	–	39.8	+5.4
Mamadou Doumbia Forward	23	0	0	–	38.3	–
Othmane Maamma Midfielder	58	0	0	–	37.6	+1.8
Jordan Zemura Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	34.4	−9.8
Rocco Vata Forward	23	0	0	0.03	29.7	–
Albert Eames Defender	46	0	0	–	26.7	–