FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Championship 26/27 · 29 Aug 2026

Derby County 0–3 Swansea City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jul 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.5 – 0.8
Actual xG
0.6 – 3.4
Goals
0 – 3

Footybot made Derby County favourites at 54%.

Swansea City won and made the better chances: 3.4 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Filip Lissah, 57.3 in 95′.

Well above their usual level: Josh Key +31.1, Filip Lissah +23.0, Ji-sung Eom +20.3.

Well below it: Max Johnston −20.2, Corey Blackett-Taylor −16.5, Ryan Hedges −11.9.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Derby County

22 Aug 2026D 2–2v Cardiff City Championship
15 Aug 2026L 1–2at Charlton Athletic Championship
8 Aug 2026L 1–2v Lincoln City EFL Cup
2 May 2026L 1–2v Sheffield United Championship
25 Apr 2026W 3–2at Queens Park Rangers Championship

Swansea City

22 Aug 2026D 0–0v Sheffield United Championship
15 Aug 2026W 2–1at Stoke City Championship
8 Aug 2026L 0–1v Birmingham City EFL Cup
2 May 2026W 3–1v Charlton Athletic Championship
25 Apr 2026D 1–1at Norwich City Championship

Head to head

14 Feb 2026Derby County 2–0 Swansea City Championship
25 Nov 2025Swansea City 1–2 Derby County Championship

Derby County

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper9500–52.6−0.7
Alex Mowatt Midfielder7800–51.8+8.5
Dion Sanderson Defender9500–48.8+8.3
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Forward69000.2439.0−5.9
Rhian Brewster Forward50000.0637.2−5.7
Filip Bilbija Forward2600–34.2–
Owen Eames Midfielder1700–31.7–
Sondre Langås Defender95000.1131.5−7.2
Lewis Travis Midfielder86000.0230.6−6.4
Charlie Taylor Defender95000.0329.2−8.8
Sammie Szmodics Midfielder5000–28.9−9.0
Bobby Clark Midfielder95000.0826.8−4.1
Ryan Hedges Midfielder4500–26.6−11.9
Joe Ward Midfielder5000–22.6−9.4
Corey Blackett-Taylor Midfielder4500–14.5−16.5
Max Johnston Defender45000.066.3−20.2

Swansea City

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ronald Midfielder10100.11100.0–
Joseph Opoku Forward24100.8793.9–
Stephen Eustaquio Midfielder3001–59.9–
Filip Lissah Defender9500–57.3+23.0
Josh Key Defender9500–56.7+31.1
Ji-sung Eom Midfielder85111.0755.4+20.3
Žan Vipotnik Forward30000.5653.8–
Lawrence Vigouroux Goalkeeper9500–49.9−1.1
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo Midfielder71000.1047.8+5.9
Stephen Welsh Defender95000.1646.2+3.8
Marko Stamenić Midfielder95000.0443.9+5.6
Elijah Just Midfielder30000.0642.1–
Adam Idah Forward65000.4239.5−0.6
Melker Widell Midfielder65000.0639.3+4.0
Jay Fulton Midfielder6500–37.5+1.6
Josh Tymon Defender9500–27.1−4.8