Athletico 2–1 Bahia
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.7 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 0.7 – 1.1
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Athletico favourites at 54%.
Athletico won a close one on the chances: 0.7 xG to 1.1.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Esquivel, 65.2 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Lucas Esquivel +19.8, Marcos Victor +10.2, Rodrigo Nestor +9.8.
Well below it: Leozinho −16.7, Gilberto −15.0, Juan Felipe Aguirre −11.1.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Athletico
| 12 Sep 2026 | D 3–3 | at Coritiba |
| 6 Sep 2026 | L 1–3 | at Cruzeiro |
| 30 Aug 2026 | D 3–3 | v Fluminense |
| 24 Aug 2026 | W 3–2 | at Botafogo |
| 15 Aug 2026 | D 1–1 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
Bahia
| 14 Sep 2026 | W 2–1 | v Remo |
| 5 Sep 2026 | W 3–2 | at Red Bull Bragantino |
| 30 Aug 2026 | W 3–2 | v Internacional |
| 23 Aug 2026 | W 2–0 | at Vitória |
| 16 Aug 2026 | D 3–3 | at Chapecoense |
Head to head
| 1 Apr 2026 | Bahia 3–0 Athletico |
Athletico
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Esquivel | 90 | 65.2 | +19.8 |
| Bruno Zapelli | 11 | 64.4 | – |
| Jorge Rivaldo | 45 | 55.6 | – |
| Luiz Gustavo | 90 | 52.8 | +6.3 |
| Kerwin Vargas | 79 | 46.5 | +3.8 |
| Juan Felipe Aguirre | 45 | 44.5 | −11.1 |
| Arthur Dias | 90 | 44.3 | −3.2 |
| Jádson | 90 | 43.4 | −0.1 |
| Steven Mendoza | 90 | 41.0 | −1.5 |
| Mycael | 90 | 40.9 | +0.2 |
| Dantas | 90 | 40.5 | −4.2 |
| Leozinho | 45 | 37.5 | −16.7 |
| Gilberto Junior | 10 | 37.0 | – |
| Gilberto | 80 | 32.6 | −15.0 |
| Dudu | 45 | 29.6 | −9.0 |
Bahia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caio Alexandre | 17 | 92.5 | – |
| Everaldo | 16 | 83.2 | – |
| David Duarte | 90 | 59.8 | +4.6 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 85 | 59.5 | +9.8 |
| Marcos Victor | 90 | 56.7 | +10.2 |
| Luciano Juba | 90 | 55.2 | +4.6 |
| Erick Pulga | 90 | 52.2 | +3.4 |
| Kanu | 90 | 51.6 | +4.8 |
| Alejo Véliz | 85 | 47.9 | +0.6 |
| Ronaldo | 90 | 45.7 | −6.4 |
| Nicolás Acevedo | 73 | 42.9 | −8.3 |
| Jean Lucas | 26 | 41.5 | – |
| Erick | 64 | 41.3 | −6.5 |
| Kauê Furquim | 26 | 40.6 | – |
| Everton Ribeiro | 16 | 38.7 | – |
| Ademir | 64 | 38.0 | −9.9 |