LaLiga 25/26 · 30 Sep 2025

Valencia 1–2 Real Oviedo

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Valencia favourites at 59%.

Real Oviedo won although Valencia made the better chances (1.5 xG to 0.8): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Luis Rioja, 62.0 in 85′.

Well above their usual level: Luis Rioja +11.4, Arnaut Danjuma +9.1.

Well below it: Mouctar Diakhaby −14.7, Javier Guerra −9.7, Hugo Duro −9.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Pepelu Midfielder	35	0	0	0.04	81.1	–
Luis Rioja Midfielder	85	0	1	0.04	62.0	+11.4
Arnaut Danjuma Forward	78	1	0	1.15	60.4	+9.1
Diego López Midfielder	35	0	0	0.04	60.3	–
José Luis Gayà Defender	90	0	0	–	49.4	−1.3
Dimitri Foulquier Defender	90	0	0	–	48.7	+0.9
Dani Raba Forward	12	0	0	–	48.3	–
Baptiste Santamaria Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	46.1	−6.1
Mouctar Diakhaby Defender	90	0	0	0.02	45.4	−14.7
César Tárrega Defender	90	0	0	0.03	45.3	−5.3
Lucas Beltrán Forward	35	0	0	–	43.7	–
Hugo Duro Forward	55	0	0	0.07	41.9	−9.6
André Almeida Midfielder	55	0	0	–	41.9	–
Julen Agirrezabala Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	41.7	−9.2
Largie Ramazani Forward	15	0	0	0.05	41.7	–
Javier Guerra Midfielder	55	0	0	0.04	40.8	−9.7

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Salomón Rondón Forward	14	1	0	0.23	100.0	–
Luka Ilić Midfielder	27	1	0	0.20	72.5	–
Haissem Hassan Midfielder	88	0	0	0.10	57.3	+4.7
Aarón Escandell Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	55.3	−1.6
Leander Dendoncker Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	51.5	+3.0
Dani Calvo Defender	90	0	0	–	49.6	+0.0
Lucas Ahijado Defender	90	0	1	0.03	49.2	–
Santiago Colombatto Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	48.7	–
Rahim Alhassane Defender	90	0	0	–	48.5	+1.0
Josip Brekalo Midfielder	65	0	0	0.03	46.7	–
Federico Viñas Forward	76	0	0	–	46.1	–
Alberto Reina Midfielder	76	0	0	0.07	44.0	−5.8
David Costas Defender	13	0	0	–	42.8	–
David Carmo Defender	90	0	0	–	42.5	–
Ilyas Chaira Midfielder	14	0	0	–	35.6	–