Ligue 1 25/26 · 17 Oct 2025

Paris Saint-Germain 3–3 RC Strasbourg

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 12% · Chances everywhere: 5.0 xG · Standout: Nuno Mendes scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Ismael Doukouré

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 2.9 – 0.7
Actual xG: 2.7 – 2.3
Goals: 3 – 3

Footybot made Paris Saint-Germain favourites at 82%.

A draw the chances agree with: 2.7 xG to 2.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Joaquin Panichelli, 92.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Joaquin Panichelli +41.6, Diego Moreira +29.3, Ilya Zabarnyi +8.4.

Well below it: Lucas Høgsberg −9.1, Ismael Doukouré −8.8, Abdoul Ouattara −8.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Paris Saint-Germain

5 Oct 2025	D 1–1	at Lille Ligue 1
1 Oct 2025	W 2–1	at FC Barcelona Champions League
27 Sep 2025	W 2–0	v Auxerre Ligue 1
22 Sep 2025	L 0–1	at Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1
17 Sep 2025	W 4–0	v Atalanta Champions League

RC Strasbourg

5 Oct 2025	W 5–0	v Angers Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025	W 2–1	at ŠK Slovan Bratislava Conference League
26 Sep 2025	L 1–2	v Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1
21 Sep 2025	W 3–2	at Paris FC Ligue 1
14 Sep 2025	W 1–0	v Le Havre Ligue 1

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Paris Saint-Germain

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nuno Mendes Defender	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Willian Pacho Defender	29	0	0	0.01	72.9	–
Bradley Barcola Forward	61	1	0	0.40	65.2	+7.7
Lucas Beraldo Defender	61	0	0	–	59.9	−3.7
Ilya Zabarnyi Defender	90	0	0	–	56.6	+8.4
Gonçalo Ramos Forward	90	1	0	1.40	55.7	+7.3
Warren Zaïre-Emery Midfielder	90	0	0	–	53.9	+0.8
Kang-in Lee Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	53.4	−6.9
Senny Mayulu Midfielder	89	1	0	0.45	53.2	+0.8
Ibrahim Mbaye Forward	90	0	0	–	52.8	+4.2
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Forward	29	0	0	0.13	50.7	–
Lucas Hernández Defender	90	0	0	–	49.5	−0.7
Quentin Ndjantou Forward	29	0	0	0.05	46.0	–
Désiré Doué Forward	61	0	1	0.15	43.6	−6.1
Lucas Chevalier Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	41.9	−7.6

RC Strasbourg

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Joaquin Panichelli Forward	90	2	0	1.28	92.3	+41.6
Martial Godo Midfielder	17	0	0	–	85.7	–
Diego Moreira Midfielder	73	1	1	0.27	79.0	+29.3
Julio Enciso Midfielder	65	0	0	0.79	60.7	–
Guéla Doué Defender	90	0	1	–	53.3	–
Valentín Barco Midfielder	90	0	1	–	53.3	+0.5
Andrew Omobamidele Defender	25	0	0	–	48.2	–
Mike Penders Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.2	−2.7
Félix Lemaréchal Midfielder	25	0	0	–	40.8	–
Lucas Høgsberg Defender	90	0	0	–	40.1	−9.1
Ismael Doukouré Defender	89	0	0	–	39.4	−8.8
Abdoul Ouattara Midfielder	90	0	0	–	39.1	−8.7
Samir El Mourabet Midfielder	65	0	0	–	39.1	−6.5
Ben Chilwell Defender	90	0	0	–	37.9	+1.3
Rafael Luis Midfielder	1	0	0	–	36.1	–