Bundesliga 25/26 · 26 Oct 2025

VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made VfB Stuttgart favourites at 60%.

VfB Stuttgart won a close one on the chances: 1.9 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Nadiem Amiri, 68.1 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Nadiem Amiri +9.8, Chris Führich +9.6.

Well below it: Dominik Kohr −17.8, Chema Andrés −13.2, Paul Nebel −11.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

23 Oct 2025	W 1–0	v HŠK Zrinjski Mostar Conference League
18 Oct 2025	L 3–4	v Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025	L 0–4	at Hamburger SV Bundesliga
2 Oct 2025	W 1–0	at Omonia Nicosia Conference League
27 Sep 2025	L 0–2	v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jeff Chabot Defender	15	0	0	–	91.2	–
Angelo Stiller Midfielder	28	0	0	–	72.1	–
Dan Zagadou Defender	75	0	0	0.22	66.5	–
Deniz Undav Forward	90	1	0	0.84	60.6	–
Nikolas Nartey Midfielder	62	0	0	0.06	58.9	–
Tiago Tomás Forward	18	0	0	–	51.7	–
Lorenz Assignon Defender	28	0	0	0.05	49.4	–
Finn Jeltsch Defender	90	0	0	0.01	48.0	−4.7
Ameen Al-Dakhil Defender	90	0	0	0.06	48.0	–
Chris Führich Midfielder	72	1	0	0.07	47.5	+9.6
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper	90	0	1	–	47.5	−5.7
Jamie Leweling Midfielder	72	0	0	0.29	46.9	−7.1
Josha Vagnoman Defender	90	0	1	0.02	44.2	−6.0
Chema Andrés Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.2	−13.2
Bilal El Khannouss Midfielder	18	0	0	0.03	35.5	–
Pascal Stenzel Defender	62	0	0	0.29	32.2	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Armindo Sieb Forward	23	0	0.10	73.1	–
Nadiem Amiri Midfielder	90	1	0.83	68.1	+9.8
Andreas Hanche Olsen Defender	23	0	–	59.1	–
Robin Zentner Goalkeeper	90	0	–	56.3	+3.6
Danny da Costa Defender	90	0	0.13	52.0	+2.8
Benedict Hollerbach Forward	67	0	0.01	48.6	+6.9
Paul Nebel Midfielder	90	0	–	47.9	−11.1
Stefan Bell Defender	87	0	–	46.5	−10.1
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder	90	0	0.05	45.2	+1.3
Kaishu Sano Midfielder	90	0	–	43.3	−10.2
Jae-sung Lee Midfielder	87	0	0.27	43.1	−5.8
Nikolas Veratschnig Defender	9	0	0.04	41.6	–
Silvan Widmer Midfielder	81	0	0.02	39.8	−4.1
Nelson Weiper Forward	11	0	–	39.5	–
Dominik Kohr Defender	67	0	–	36.1	−17.8
Arnaud Nordin Forward	11	0	–	34.7	–