Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 4 Nov 2025

Oxford United 0–3 Stoke City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.4 – 0.8
Actual xG
1.8 – 2.2
Goals
0 – 3

Footybot made Oxford United favourites at 52%.

Stoke City won a close one on the chances: 2.2 xG to 1.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lewis Baker, 71.4 in 63′.

Well above their usual level: Lewis Baker +29.7, Ciaron Brown +15.5, Will Vaulks +14.9.

Well below it: Michał Helik −20.9, Junior Tchamadeu −13.6, Jamie Cumming −13.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Oxford United

1 Nov 2025D 2–2v Millwall Championship
25 Oct 2025W 2–1at Sheffield Wednesday Championship
22 Oct 2025L 0–1at Wrexham Championship
18 Oct 2025W 1–0v Derby County Championship
4 Oct 2025L 1–2at Watford Championship

Stoke City

1 Nov 2025W 5–1v Bristol City Championship
25 Oct 2025W 1–0at Portsmouth Championship
21 Oct 2025L 0–2at Millwall Championship
18 Oct 2025W 1–0v Wrexham Championship
4 Oct 2025D 1–1at Blackburn Rovers Championship

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Oxford United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ciaron Brown Defender90000.0759.2+15.5
Brian De Keersmaecker Midfielder90000.0255.2+12.3
Nik Prelec Forward3700–49.7–
Will Vaulks Midfielder53000.1246.4+14.9
Jamie Cumming Goalkeeper9000–38.6−13.2
Mark Harris Forward1400–37.2–
Sam Long Defender9000–37.1−1.7
Ole Romeny Forward900–36.2–
Will Lankshear Forward76000.1834.9−7.7
Siriki Dembélé Midfielder37000.0133.5–
Przemysław Płacheta Midfielder53000.0732.5−6.9
Cameron Brannagan Midfielder90000.0532.3−8.4
Michał Helik Defender9000–28.4−20.9
Louie Sibley Midfielder900–24.8–
Stanley Mills Midfielder81000.2523.8−10.8
Greg Leigh Defender81000.9723.5−11.7

Stoke City

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Lewis Baker Midfielder63211.3371.4+29.7
Viktor Johansson Goalkeeper9000–60.8+5.0
Eric Bocat Defender9000–49.2–
Ashley Phillips Defender90000.0847.3+0.9
Sorba Thomas Midfielder90000.0146.1+2.9
Steven​ N'Zonzi Midfielder79100.1145.4–
Ben Wilmot Defender90000.1644.4−1.4
Divin Mubama Forward73000.3144.4+1.0
Lamine Cissé Forward17000.0643.6–
Jun-Ho Bae Midfielder2700–41.9–
Tatsuki Seko Midfielder6300–39.7+1.0
Róbert Boženík Forward1700–39.4–
Tomáš Rigo Midfielder1100–36.6–
Ben Pearson Midfielder2700–36.4–
Million Manhoef Midfielder73000.1236.4−3.9
Junior Tchamadeu Defender9000–20.3−13.6