UEFA Champions League 25/26 · 10 Dec 2025

Qarabağ FK 2–4 AFC Ajax

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Qarabağ FK favourites at 60%.

AFC Ajax won and made the better chances: 1.6 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Oscar Gloukh, 76.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Oscar Gloukh +24.3, Anton Gaaei +17.9, Kasper Dolberg +15.2.

Well below it: Leandro Andrade −25.0, Ko Itakura −22.5, Elvin Cafarquliyev −19.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Nov 2025	L 0–2	at SSC Napoli Champions League
5 Nov 2025	D 2–2	v Chelsea Champions League
22 Oct 2025	L 1–3	at Athletic Club Champions League
1 Oct 2025	W 2–0	v FC København Champions League
16 Sep 2025	W 3–2	at Benfica Champions League

6 Dec 2025	W 3–1	at Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
2 Dec 2025	W 2–0	v FC Groningen Eredivisie
25 Nov 2025	L 0–2	v Benfica Champions League
22 Nov 2025	L 1–2	v Excelsior Eredivisie
9 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at FC Utrecht Eredivisie

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Joni Montiel Midfielder	8	0	0	–	100.0	–
Kevin Medina Defender	90	0	0	0.16	51.2	−3.6
Matheus Silva Defender	87	1	0	0.07	49.8	−0.5
Camilo Durán Forward	70	1	0	0.24	48.8	+0.0
Olexiy Kashchuk Midfielder	20	0	0	0.02	46.5	–
Emmanuel Addai Midfielder	90	0	0	0.40	46.0	−7.8
Marko Janković Midfielder	90	0	1	–	43.9	−18.0
Abdellah Zoubir Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	43.7	−11.7
Pedro Bicalho Midfielder	87	0	0	0.06	41.3	−3.5
Toral Bayramov Defender	8	0	0	–	41.3	–
Nariman Akhundzade Forward	31	0	0	–	38.9	–
Bahlul Mustafazada Defender	90	0	0	–	37.1	−7.7
Mateusz Kochalski Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	35.3	−13.5
Elvin Cafarquliyev Defender	87	0	0	0.04	31.2	−19.0
Leandro Andrade Midfielder	59	0	0	0.01	29.8	−25.0
Dani Bolt Defender	8	0	0	–	7.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Oscar Gloukh Midfielder	90	2	0	0.38	76.5	+24.3
Kasper Dolberg Forward	65	1	0	0.18	59.8	+15.2
Anton Gaaei Defender	90	1	0	0.20	58.9	+17.9
Aaron Bouwman Defender	90	0	0	–	57.8	–
Don-Angelo Konadu Forward	25	0	1	0.31	56.7	–
Lucas Rosa Defender	90	0	1	–	51.4	+0.9
Youri Baas Defender	90	0	0	–	49.0	−5.7
Vítězslav Jaroš Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.2	−8.1
Davy Klaassen Midfielder	14	0	0	–	47.2	–
Mika Godts Forward	14	0	1	–	46.1	–
Sean Steur Midfielder	76	0	1	0.05	45.5	–
Jorthy Mokio Midfielder	84	0	0	0.31	44.7	−4.7
Youri Regeer Midfielder	25	0	0	–	43.3	–
Kian Fitz-Jim Midfielder	11	0	0	–	41.0	–
Raúl Moro Midfielder	76	0	0	0.14	38.2	−14.1
Ko Itakura Defender	65	0	0	0.06	31.4	−22.5