Monza
Gustavo Varela

Gustavo Varela

Forward · Monza · 21 · Portugal

Season score
54.2
Serie A 26/27, 7 matches
Last 5 weeks
54.8
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€5.0M
+€2.0M (+67%) since 28 May 2026
Transfermarkt, 22 Sep 2026

Photo: Nehme1499, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
30 Jan 2005
Height
184 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
30 Jun 2030
Wikipedia views
6,729 4 weeks

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

22 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 45.1 (minutes-weighted); 0 of them 70 or better.

Form bars show the weekly score: no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
20–26 Oct 202619052.448.846.6
13–19 Oct 202618164.547.753.5
6–12 Oct 202619044.447.944.7
15–21 Sep 202619067.546.358.0
8–14 Sep 202617544.546.347.4
25–31 Aug 202619046.146.138.5
18–24 Aug 202618359.545.055.4
11–17 Aug 202618117.446.821.4
12–18 May 202617347.946.649.4
5–11 May 202616438.247.037.6
28 Apr – 4 May 202613244.147.043.5
21–27 Apr 202612933.447.237.3
14–20 Apr 202617938.747.742.8
7–13 Apr 202618540.748.242.5
31 Mar – 6 Apr 202619057.047.343.6
17–23 Mar 202618543.047.543.6
10–16 Mar 202618236.848.437.3
3–9 Mar 202611241.048.440.1
17–23 Feb 202617344.348.655.1
10–16 Feb 202614561.248.050.8
3–9 Feb 202613545.547.955.1
27 Jan – 2 Feb 2026123100.046.690.6
20–26 Jan 202616843.946.644.3
13–19 Jan 202617639.647.039.1
30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 202619044.347.244.6
23–29 Dec 202511543.447.143.6
16–22 Dec 202515841.347.343.2
9–15 Dec 202517940.347.942.7
2–8 Dec 202518738.049.137.8
25 Nov – 1 Dec 202517737.650.537.9
4–10 Nov 202511563.150.2100.0
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202511838.550.537.4
21–27 Oct 202512240.351.040.7
30 Sep – 6 Oct 202512272.450.2100.0
16–22 Sep 202511169.549.971.4
9–15 Sep 202512036.050.334.6
26 Aug – 1 Sep 2025110100.049.572.3
19–25 Aug 202511655.049.355.4
12–18 Aug 202512237.649.736.4
5–11 Aug 20251843.449.842.7

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (+1.8 a week).

0.020.040.060.080.025 Nov30 Dec17 Feb31 Mar5 May18 Aug15 Sep20 OctScore 52.4Expected 48.8
Transfermarkt €5.0M +€2.0M (+67%) since 28 May 2026 22 Sep 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €5.3M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €5.0M–€12.1M +46% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age +25% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Fredrik Sjøvold at 21 (€6.0M, scoring 48.1) +67%; Bright Arrey-Mbi at 22 (€6.0M, scoring 48.1) +50%; Christantus Uche at 21 (€5.0M, scoring 49.4) +200%.
0€2.0M€4.0M€6.0M20252026€5.0M€5.3M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€5.3M
22 Sep 2026Transfermarkt€5.0M
28 May 2026Transfermarkt€3.0M
19 Mar 2026Transfermarkt€2.0M
18 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€1.0M
23 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€1.2M
16 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€600k
20 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€500k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

DateMoveFee
27 Jul 2026Benfica B Monza€2.5M
30 Jun 2026Gil Vicente Benfica BBack from loan
9 Jul 2025Benfica B Gil VicenteLoan
1 Jul 2022PAOK U20 Benfica U19€100k

What the score is made of

Serie A 26/27, 599 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 295 top-five-league forward seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

Shooting81Creating26Progressing27Keeping the ball32Defending2Aerial49Finishing100
As a table
PartPercentilePer 90 vs average
Shooting81+0.33
Creating26−0.26
Progressing27−0.31
Keeping the ball32−0.27
Defending2−0.35
Aerial49−0.17
Finishing100+1.09

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 51 weeks.

01.0K2.0K3.0K4.0K4 Nov23 Dec10 Feb31 Mar19 May7 Jul25 Aug13 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Carlos Vinícius Grêmio · 3145.2€6.0M95%Compare
Hyeon-gyu Oh Beşiktaş JK · 2547.3€15.0M93%Compare
Youssef En-Nesyri Al-Ittihad · 2949.3€17.0M92%Compare
Renê Sousa Vitória · 2348.9€5.0M92%Compare
Sam Surridge Nashville SC · 2842.1€8.0M91%Compare
Giovanni Simeone Torino · 3145.4€7.0M90%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Gustavo Varela.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Serie A 26/27Serie AMonza759954.249.1
Coppa Italia 26/27Coppa ItaliaMonza18117.421.4
Liga Portugal 25/26Liga PortugalGil Vicente321,52145.445.7
Liga Portugal 23/24Liga PortugalBenfica11541.340.4

Latest matches

40 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
23 Oct 2026Serie Aat TorinoL 2–390100.400.0152.4
19 Oct 2026Serie ACagliariW 4–081210.890.0664.5
11 Oct 2026Serie Aat LazioL 1–390000.090.0044.4
18 Sep 2026Serie ASassuoloW 2–190200.900.1667.5
13 Sep 2026Serie Aat LecceL 2–375000.290.0844.5
29 Aug 2026Serie AUdineseL 2–390100.290.0246.1
22 Aug 2026Serie Aat InterL 1–483100.540.0059.5
14 Aug 2026Coppa ItaliaUS Avellino 1912W 3–08120––17.4
16 May 2026Liga Portugalat Sporting CPL 0–373000.140.0047.9
11 May 2026Liga PortugalFC AroucaL 1–364010.040.0338.2
All 40 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
23 Oct 2026Serie Aat TorinoL 2–390100.400.0152.4
19 Oct 2026Serie ACagliariW 4–081210.890.0664.5
11 Oct 2026Serie Aat LazioL 1–390000.090.0044.4
18 Sep 2026Serie ASassuoloW 2–190200.900.1667.5
13 Sep 2026Serie Aat LecceL 2–375000.290.0844.5
29 Aug 2026Serie AUdineseL 2–390100.290.0246.1
22 Aug 2026Serie Aat InterL 1–483100.540.0059.5
14 Aug 2026Coppa ItaliaUS Avellino 1912W 3–08120––17.4
16 May 2026Liga Portugalat Sporting CPL 0–373000.140.0047.9
11 May 2026Liga PortugalFC AroucaL 1–364010.040.0338.2
3 May 2026Liga Portugalat Rio AveD 0–03200–0.0144.1
27 Apr 2026Liga PortugalCasa PiaW 2–129000.180.0533.4
18 Apr 2026Liga PortugalVitória SCL 0–179000.450.0038.7
13 Apr 2026Liga Portugalat TondelaD 2–285000.250.0040.7
3 Apr 2026Liga PortugalAVS - Futebol SADW 3–090200.610.0257.0
21 Mar 2026Liga Portugalat Santa ClaraL 0–185000.120.0043.0
14 Mar 2026Liga PortugalFC AlvercaD 2–282000.160.0136.8
8 Mar 2026Liga Portugalat CF Estrela AmadoraD 2–21200–0.0241.0
22 Feb 2026Liga Portugalat Estoril PraiaL 1–373000.920.0244.3
14 Feb 2026Liga PortugalSporting BragaW 2–145100.43–61.2
7 Feb 2026Liga Portugalat MoreirenseW 2–135000.390.0045.5
1 Feb 2026Liga PortugalFamalicãoW 5–023200.910.00100.0
26 Jan 2026Liga Portugalat FC PortoL 0–368000.080.0043.9
17 Jan 2026Liga PortugalCD NacionalW 2–176000.040.0239.6
2 Jan 2026Liga PortugalSporting CPD 1–190000.090.0244.3
28 Dec 2025Liga Portugalat FC AroucaD 2–215000.020.0043.4
20 Dec 2025Liga PortugalRio AveD 2–258010.170.0541.3
13 Dec 2025Liga Portugalat Casa PiaD 1–179000.290.0440.3
8 Dec 2025Liga Portugalat Vitória SCD 0–087000.090.0038.0
29 Nov 2025Liga PortugalTondelaL 0–177000.140.0037.6
9 Nov 2025Liga Portugalat AVS - Futebol SADD 1–115000.600.0163.1
3 Nov 2025Liga PortugalSanta ClaraW 1–01800–0.0038.5
24 Oct 2025Liga Portugalat FC AlvercaW 4–022000.03–40.3
4 Oct 2025Liga PortugalCF Estrela AmadoraW 2–022000.930.0472.4
21 Sep 2025Liga PortugalEstoril PraiaW 2–01101–0.1069.5
14 Sep 2025Liga Portugalat Sporting BragaW 1–02000–0.0036.0
29 Aug 2025Liga PortugalMoreirenseW 2–010100.210.00100.0
24 Aug 2025Liga Portugalat FamalicãoD 0–01600–0.0355.0
18 Aug 2025Liga PortugalFC PortoL 0–22200–0.0037.6
9 Aug 2025Liga Portugalat CD NacionalW 2–0800––43.4