Estoril Praia 3–1 Gil Vicente
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.6 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 2.2 – 2.4
- Goals
- 3 – 1
Footybot made Estoril Praia favourites at 49%.
Estoril Praia won a close one on the chances: 2.2 xG to 2.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: João Carvalho, 63.5 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Jonathan Buatu +15.5, João Carvalho +13.1, Ghislain Konan +12.5.
Well below it: Ferro −15.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Estoril Praia
| 15 Feb 2026 | L 0–3 | at AVS - Futebol SAD |
| 7 Feb 2026 | D 2–2 | v Tondela |
| 31 Jan 2026 | W 4–2 | at Santa Clara |
| 24 Jan 2026 | W 4–2 | v Vitória SC |
| 19 Jan 2026 | W 5–0 | at CF Estrela Amadora |
Gil Vicente
| 14 Feb 2026 | W 2–1 | v Sporting Braga |
| 7 Feb 2026 | W 2–1 | at Moreirense |
| 1 Feb 2026 | W 5–0 | v Famalicão |
| 26 Jan 2026 | L 0–3 | at FC Porto |
| 17 Jan 2026 | W 2–1 | v CD Nacional |
Head to head
| 21 Sep 2025 | Gil Vicente 2–0 Estoril Praia |
Estoril Praia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| João Carvalho | 90 | 63.5 | +13.1 |
| Yanis Begraoui | 90 | 62.3 | +7.9 |
| Jordan Holsgrove | 90 | 60.9 | +11.6 |
| Felix Bacher | 90 | 56.1 | +5.2 |
| Joel Robles | 90 | 51.1 | +6.8 |
| Pedro Carvalho | 22 | 48.7 | – |
| Gonçalo Costa | 68 | 47.1 | +6.2 |
| Alejandro Marqués | 90 | 45.7 | −2.7 |
| Antef Tsoungui | 59 | 42.1 | +4.0 |
| Ricard Sánchez | 90 | 41.6 | +0.5 |
| Rafik Guitane | 31 | 40.1 | – |
| Jandro Orellana | 86 | 38.7 | −6.3 |
| Ferro | 90 | 38.4 | −15.0 |
| Pizzi | 11 | 36.8 | – |
Gil Vicente
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Buatu | 90 | 62.8 | +15.5 |
| Agustín Moreira | 38 | 55.9 | – |
| Ghislain Konan | 90 | 55.7 | +12.5 |
| Hevertton Santos | 17 | 51.0 | – |
| Murilo | 90 | 49.9 | +2.8 |
| Héctor Hernández | 17 | 47.7 | – |
| Antonio Espigares | 90 | 45.8 | −2.2 |
| Zé Carlos | 83 | 45.2 | +2.6 |
| Gustavo Varela | 73 | 44.3 | +1.9 |
| Carlos Eduardo | 14 | 43.2 | – |
| Luís Esteves | 83 | 42.2 | −6.4 |
| Lucão | 90 | 41.6 | −5.2 |
| Santi García | 90 | 40.1 | −7.8 |
| Joelson Fernandes | 52 | 39.2 | −4.3 |
| Facundo Cáseres | 14 | 35.1 | – |
| Zé Carlos | 73 | 34.2 | −6.0 |