Liga Portugal 25/26 · 24 Jan 2026

Estoril Praia 4–2 Vitória SC

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Estoril Praia favourites at 51%.

Estoril Praia won a close one on the chances: 2.1 xG to 2.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Alejandro Marqués, 68.6 in 78′.

Well above their usual level: Alejandro Marqués +22.2, Samu +10.6, Matija Mitrović +9.9.

Well below it: Juan Castillo −30.5, Ricard Sánchez −14.7, Noah Saviolo −10.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

19 Jan 2026	W 5–0	at CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026	L 1–3	at Benfica Liga Portugal
27 Dec 2025	W 4–1	v FC Alverca Liga Portugal
19 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Sporting Braga Liga Portugal
14 Dec 2025	L 0–4	at Famalicão Liga Portugal

16 Aug 2025	Vitória SC 3–2 Estoril Praia Liga Portugal

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Alejandro Marqués Forward	78	2	0	1.40	68.6	+22.2
Rafik Guitane Midfielder	89	0	2	0.10	61.5	+7.1
Yanis Begraoui Forward	90	2	0	0.36	57.5	+2.1
Kévin Boma Defender	90	0	0	0.10	55.4	+5.8
Pizzi Midfielder	45	0	1	–	55.1	–
Jordan Holsgrove Midfielder	90	0	1	0.07	50.1	−4.6
João Carvalho Midfielder	90	0	0	–	48.2	−0.9
Felix Bacher Defender	90	0	0	–	45.0	−6.2
Antef Tsoungui Defender	17	0	0	–	40.9	–
Nodar Lominadze Midfielder	45	0	0	–	40.7	−7.7
Joel Robles Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	40.7	−6.7
Gonçalo Costa Defender	17	0	0	0.01	37.7	–
Pedro Amaral Defender	73	0	0	0.01	35.6	−2.3
Ferro Defender	1	0	0	–	32.1	–
Ricard Sánchez Defender	73	0	0	0.03	31.9	−14.7
Xeka Midfielder	12	0	0	–	30.5	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Diogo Sousa Midfielder	32	0	0	–	61.9	–
Matija Mitrović Midfielder	90	1	0	0.20	57.0	+9.9
Samu Midfielder	72	1	0	0.71	55.0	+10.6
Fabio Blanco Midfielder	18	0	0	0.02	51.9	–
Alioune Ndoye Forward	90	0	0	0.99	48.5	−0.8
Rodrigo Abascal Defender	90	0	0	–	47.5	+7.9
Gonçalo Nogueira Midfielder	58	0	1	–	44.5	−3.4
Ejike Opara Forward	8	0	0	–	43.5	–
João Mendes Defender	72	0	0	0.02	42.8	+1.4
Oumar Camara Forward	82	0	0	–	42.3	−5.3
Miguel Nóbrega Defender	90	0	0	–	41.1	−5.7
Tony Strata Defender	90	0	0	–	37.7	–
Gustavo Silva Forward	32	0	0	0.10	36.4	–
Noah Saviolo Midfielder	58	0	0	–	36.1	−10.0
Orest Lebedenko Defender	18	0	0	–	25.3	–
Juan Castillo Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	22.2	−30.5