FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Liga Portugal 25/26 · 7 Feb 2026

Estoril Praia 2–2 Tondela

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.0 – 1.2
Actual xG
0.7 – 1.4
Goals
2 – 2

Footybot made Estoril Praia favourites at 57%.

Tondela deserved more from the draw, creating 1.4 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ferro, 59.2 in 83′.

Well above their usual level: Maranhão +11.6.

Well below it: Yanis Begraoui −13.6, Alejandro Marqués −11.3, Jordan Holsgrove −11.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Estoril Praia

31 Jan 2026W 4–2at Santa Clara Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2026W 4–2v Vitória SC Liga Portugal
19 Jan 2026W 5–0at CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026L 1–3at Benfica Liga Portugal
27 Dec 2025W 4–1v FC Alverca Liga Portugal

Tondela

1 Feb 2026D 0–0v Benfica Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2026L 0–3at Famalicão Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2026L 0–1v Sporting Braga Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2026L 0–1at Moreirense Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026W 3–1v FC Arouca Liga Portugal

Head to head

31 Aug 2025Tondela 2–2 Estoril Praia Liga Portugal

Estoril Praia

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ferro Defender83100.1959.2+7.6
João Carvalho Midfielder90100.0750.4+0.6
Pizzi Midfielder5502–49.6−2.7
Ricard Sánchez Defender90000.0644.7+1.9
Jordan Holsgrove Midfielder9000–44.5−11.2
Rafik Guitane Midfielder90000.1143.5−11.1
Yanis Begraoui Forward90000.0742.5−13.6
Joel Robles Goalkeeper9000–41.8−3.9
Felix Bacher Defender9000–41.1−10.1
Alejandro Marqués Forward74000.0740.2−11.3
Pedro Amaral Defender83000.0140.1+3.2
Peixinho Forward16000.1337.6–
Jandro Orellana Midfielder3500–35.3–
Antef Tsoungui Defender1200–29.0–
Gonçalo Costa Defender1200–5.8–

Tondela

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Maranhão Midfielder74201.2655.6+11.6
Bernardo Fontes Goalkeeper9000–47.4−2.4
Brayan Medina Defender90000.0244.5−0.6
Cicero Midfielder9001–44.4+0.1
Makan Aïko Forward9001–40.6−3.6
Jordan Siebatcheu Forward6500–40.1−4.1
Christian Marques Defender9000–39.0−3.2
Yaya Sithole Midfielder89000.0237.6−3.5
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka Forward2500–37.4–
Rodrigo Conceição Defender90000.0537.0−4.9
Hélder Tavares Midfielder100–36.1–
Joe Hodge Midfielder6500–34.9−10.4
Arjen Van Der Heide Forward1600–34.7–
Bebeto Defender9000–33.4−10.0
Hugo Félix Midfielder2500–27.1–