UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 1 Oct 2026

Germany 2–0 Serbia

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Germany favourites at 80%.

Germany won and made the better chances: 3.9 xG to 0.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Florian Wirtz, 76.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Florian Wirtz +20.7, Malick Thiaw +20.3, Đorđe Petrović +13.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

27 Sep 2026	L 0–1	v Greece UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026	D 1–1	at Netherlands UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2026	D 1–1	v Paraguay World Cup 2026
25 Jun 2026	L 1–2	at Ecuador World Cup 2026
20 Jun 2026	W 2–1	v Côte d'Ivoire World Cup 2026

27 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Netherlands UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Greece UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2025	W 2–1	v Latvia World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Nov 2025	L 0–2	at England World Cup Qualification UEFA
14 Oct 2025	W 3–1	at Andorra World Cup Qualification UEFA

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Vitaly Janelt Midfielder	2	0	0	–	100.0	–
Florian Wirtz Midfielder	90	1	0	0.60	76.0	+20.7
Malick Thiaw Defender	90	0	0	0.42	74.2	+20.3
Aleksandar Pavlović Midfielder	88	0	0	0.27	70.9	+5.9
Tom Bischof Midfielder	77	1	0	0.33	70.1	+11.1
Mika Baur Midfielder	13	0	0	–	61.2	–
Bambasé Conté Midfielder	13	0	0	0.23	60.5	–
Waldemar Anton Defender	90	0	0	0.13	56.8	−2.9
Philipp Treu Defender	90	0	0	–	54.6	+10.7
Jonathan Burkardt Forward	13	0	0	–	51.6	–
Nick Woltemade Forward	77	0	0	0.80	50.3	+2.8
Derry Scherhant Forward	77	0	0	0.35	48.6	−1.2
Jonas Urbig Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.3	−3.5
Serge Gnabry Midfielder	45	0	0	0.56	47.1	−13.0
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender	90	0	1	0.09	45.5	−17.9
Said El Mala Midfielder	45	0	0	0.15	43.5	−3.3

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Strahinja Pavlović Defender	23	–	68.7	–
Strahinja Eraković Defender	67	–	62.7	+8.4
Lazar Samardžić Midfielder	24	–	62.0	–
Đorđe Petrović Goalkeeper	90	–	61.8	+13.3
Saša Lukić Midfielder	23	–	53.0	–
Kosta Nedeljković Defender	90	–	51.6	+9.2
Nemanja Gudelj Midfielder	90	–	47.3	+4.3
Luka Jović Forward	90	–	41.9	−5.9
Filip Kostić Midfielder	90	0.01	40.1	−16.3
Vasilije Kostov Midfielder	2	–	40.1	–
Andrija Živković Midfielder	66	–	39.5	−15.0
Mihajlo Cvetković Forward	23	–	38.9	–
Dušan Tadić Forward	67	–	36.9	−9.1