UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 4 Oct 2026

Netherlands 2–1 Serbia

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Netherlands favourites at 84%.

Netherlands won and made the better chances: 2.7 xG to 1.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Stefan Gudelj, 77.4 in 79′.

Well above their usual level: Mihajlo Cvetković +21.8, Teun Koopmeiners +16.7, Joshua Zirkzee +14.8.

Well below it: Joey Veerman −13.6, Ryan Gravenberch −10.1, Noa Lang −9.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Oct 2026	D 2–2	at Greece UEFA Nations League
27 Sep 2026	W 2–1	at Serbia UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026	D 1–1	v Germany UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 2026	D 1–1	v Morocco World Cup 2026
25 Jun 2026	W 3–1	at Tunisia World Cup 2026

1 Oct 2026	L 0–2	at Germany UEFA Nations League
27 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Netherlands UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Greece UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2025	W 2–1	v Latvia World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Nov 2025	L 0–2	at England World Cup Qualification UEFA

27 Sep 2026	Serbia 1–2 Netherlands UEFA Nations League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Quinten Timber Midfielder	8	0	0	–	83.6	–
Jorrel Hato Defender	32	0	0	–	80.8	–
Teun Koopmeiners Midfielder	90	1	0	0.21	67.1	+16.7
Joshua Zirkzee Forward	45	1	0	0.96	65.2	+14.8
Gjivai Zechiël Midfielder	31	0	0	0.04	64.7	–
Virgil van Dijk Defender	90	0	0	0.25	59.3	−0.9
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	55.4	+2.7
Joey Veerman Midfielder	58	0	0	0.08	52.2	−13.6
Denzel Dumfries Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.9	+1.0
Micky van de Ven Defender	90	0	0	0.02	49.9	−7.8
Crysencio Summerville Midfielder	90	0	0	0.14	49.2	−5.4
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder	82	0	1	0.40	48.6	−7.2
Mexx Meerdink Forward	45	0	0	0.46	46.2	−5.0
Ruben van Bommel Forward	32	0	0	–	43.6	–
Ryan Gravenberch Midfielder	59	0	0	–	41.8	−10.1
Noa Lang Forward	58	0	0	0.19	41.2	−9.9

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Filip Kostić Midfielder	18	0	0	–	100.0	–
Nemanja Gudelj Midfielder	11	0	0	0.02	77.4	–
Stefan Gudelj Defender	79	0	0	–	77.4	–
Andrija Živković Midfielder	18	0	0	–	73.8	–
Strahinja Pavlović Defender	90	0	0	0.37	67.4	+11.8
Mihajlo Cvetković Forward	90	1	0	1.00	65.4	+21.8
Vanja Milinković-Savić Goalkeeper	90	0	0	0.01	56.0	+3.0
Dušan Tadić Forward	66	0	0	0.04	53.4	+7.3
Lazar Samardžić Midfielder	72	0	0	0.05	49.6	−8.0
Luka Jović Forward	24	0	0	0.16	46.8	–
Kosta Nedeljković Defender	90	0	0	0.01	46.8	+2.9
Saša Lukić Midfielder	90	0	0	–	44.5	−8.8
Aleksa Terzić Defender	72	0	1	–	42.1	−5.4
Aleksandar Stanković Midfielder	66	0	0	–	40.1	−6.3