Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 1.6
- Actual xG
- 0.6 – 1.6
- Goals
- 0 – 2
Footybot made Villarreal favourites at 44%.
Real Madrid won and made the better chances: 1.6 xG to 0.6.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kylian Mbappé, 76.6 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Alfonso Pedraza +12.1.
Well below it: Gerard Moreno −17.1, Alberto Moleiro −16.6, Georges Mikautadze −9.6.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Villarreal
| 20 Jan 2026 | L 1–2 | v AFC Ajax |
| 17 Jan 2026 | L 0–2 | at Real Betis |
| 10 Jan 2026 | W 3–1 | v Deportivo Alavés |
| 3 Jan 2026 | W 3–1 | at Elche |
| 21 Dec 2025 | L 0–2 | v FC Barcelona |
Real Madrid
| 20 Jan 2026 | W 6–1 | v AS Monaco |
| 17 Jan 2026 | W 2–0 | v Levante UD |
| 4 Jan 2026 | W 5–1 | v Real Betis |
| 20 Dec 2025 | W 2–0 | v Sevilla |
| 14 Dec 2025 | W 2–1 | at Deportivo Alavés |
Head to head
| 4 Oct 2025 | Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal |
Villarreal
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayoze Pérez | 13 | 61.1 | – |
| Alfonso Pedraza | 90 | 59.2 | +12.1 |
| Dani Parejo | 77 | 51.4 | +1.5 |
| Rafa Marín | 66 | 48.4 | −1.8 |
| Thomas Partey | 13 | 47.7 | – |
| Pau Navarro | 90 | 47.1 | +1.7 |
| Nicolas Pépé | 20 | 46.4 | – |
| Renato Veiga | 90 | 45.4 | −1.9 |
| Gerard Moreno | 70 | 43.4 | −17.1 |
| Luiz Júnior | 90 | 43.4 | −3.6 |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | 20 | 43.4 | – |
| Juan Foyth | 24 | 43.1 | – |
| Pape Gueye | 90 | 41.5 | −5.3 |
| Tajon Buchanan | 70 | 40.9 | −7.6 |
| Georges Mikautadze | 77 | 38.1 | −9.6 |
| Alberto Moleiro | 90 | 34.8 | −16.6 |
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé | 90 | 76.6 | +5.8 |
| Arda Güler | 80 | 64.6 | +7.1 |
| Jude Bellingham | 90 | 64.5 | +3.3 |
| Álvaro Carreras | 90 | 55.2 | +0.0 |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 90 | 54.3 | −4.3 |
| Dean Huijsen | 90 | 53.1 | −4.7 |
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 51.5 | −1.8 |
| Vinícius Júnior | 90 | 51.4 | −2.5 |
| Franco Mastantuono | 74 | 50.1 | −6.9 |
| Federico Valverde | 90 | 46.0 | −5.7 |
| Raúl Asencio | 90 | 44.2 | −5.5 |
| Brahim Díaz | 10 | 41.1 | – |
| Gonzalo García | 16 | 40.8 | – |