FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 31 Jan 2026

FC Augsburg 2–1 FC St. Pauli

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.4 – 0.8
Actual xG
1.4 – 2.4
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made FC Augsburg favourites at 51%.

FC Augsburg won although FC St. Pauli made the better chances (2.4 xG to 1.4): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Danel Sinani, 69.6 in 63′.

Well above their usual level: Michael Gregoritsch +17.5, Danel Sinani +16.2, Karol Mets +11.9.

Well below it: Robin Fellhauer −14.5, Marius Wolf −14.4, Mathias Rasmussen −8.9.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

FC Augsburg

24 Jan 2026W 2–1at FC Bayern München Bundesliga
18 Jan 2026D 2–2v SC Freiburg Bundesliga
15 Jan 2026D 1–1v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
11 Jan 2026L 0–4at Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025D 0–0v SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli

27 Jan 2026D 1–1v RB Leipzig Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026D 0–0v Hamburger SV Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026L 2–3at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026L 1–2at VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025D 0–0at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga

Head to head

14 Sep 2025FC St. Pauli 2–1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga

FC Augsburg

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Michael Gregoritsch Forward84200.7660.8+17.5
Keven Schlotterbeck Defender9000–60.6+9.7
Finn Dahmen Goalkeeper9000–57.5+7.8
Arthur Chaves Defender4500–54.4−3.5
Alexis Claude-Maurice Forward90020.4051.9+1.1
Noahkai Banks Defender90000.0143.4−5.2
Yannik Keitel Midfielder4500–42.7–
Han-Noah Massengo Midfielder9000–41.7−6.1
Elvis Rexhbeçaj Midfielder7700–38.9−7.1
Cedric Zesiger Defender1300–36.6–
Fabian Rieder Midfielder60000.0434.7−5.2
Anton Kade Midfielder3000–34.1–
Marius Wolf Midfielder77000.0931.9−14.4
Robin Fellhauer Midfielder9000–30.9−14.5
Samuel Essende Forward12000.0629.2–
Mads Pedersen Defender1300–26.3–

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Danel Sinani Forward63101.4569.6+16.2
Karol Mets Defender9000–60.8+11.9
Abdoulie Ceesay Forward12000.1158.5–
Tomoya Ando Defender9000–55.7–
Eric Smith Defender90000.0749.6+4.6
Joel Chima Fujita Midfielder70000.0349.6+5.9
Nikola Vasilj Goalkeeper9000–48.8−1.6
Ricky-Jade Jones Forward63000.2647.3+4.6
Arkadiusz Pyrka Midfielder90000.0146.2+3.7
Mathias Rasmussen Midfielder90000.1745.8−8.9
Manolis Saliakas Midfielder84000.0744.2+1.2
Jackson Irvine Midfielder20000.1342.5–
James Sands Midfielder90000.1441.3−2.7
Martijn Kaars Forward2700–37.8–
Mathias Pereira Lage Forward2700–36.3–