VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 25/26 · 6 Feb 2026

NAC Breda 0–2 Excelsior

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made NAC Breda favourites at 50%.

Excelsior won a close one on the chances: 0.9 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Stijn van Gassel, 75.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Emil Hansson +29.5, Stijn van Gassel +23.3, Lewis Schouten +14.1.

Well below it: Denis Odoi −31.0, Juho Talvitie −25.9, Leo Greiml −21.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

29 Nov 2025	Excelsior 1–0 NAC Breda Eredivisie

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Lewis Holtby Midfielder	17	–	93.6	–
André Ayew Forward	17	–	63.6	–
Moussa Soumano Forward	90	0.48	46.6	−9.7
Cherrion Valerius Defender	58	–	45.6	+0.8
Amine Salama Forward	35	0.01	45.5	–
Leo Greiml Defender	90	–	45.5	−21.8
Daniel Bielica Goalkeeper	90	–	45.1	−6.3
Mohamed Nassoh Midfielder	73	–	44.1	−8.5
Charles-Andreas Brym Forward	73	0.17	42.8	−12.7
Maximilien Balard Midfielder	90	0.09	35.9	−11.0
Juho Talvitie Midfielder	55	–	32.7	−25.9
Kamal Sowah Midfielder	73	0.06	32.2	−11.7
Jayden Candelaria Defender	32	–	20.3	–
Denis Odoi Defender	90	0.10	18.7	−31.0
Clint Leemans Midfielder	17	0.27	18.1	–
Rio Hillen Defender	12	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Stijn van Gassel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	75.4	+23.3
Emil Hansson Midfielder	45	1	0	0.09	68.9	+29.5
Lewis Schouten Defender	70	0	0	0.17	60.8	+14.1
Gyan de Regt Midfielder	90	0	1	0.03	54.9	+3.7
Irakli Yegoian Midfielder	90	1	0	0.15	53.5	+4.2
Rick Meissen Defender	90	0	0	–	51.2	+5.3
Miliano Jonathans Forward	45	0	0	0.03	50.8	−3.4
Stan Henderikx Defender	20	0	0	–	50.8	–
Lennard Hartjes Midfielder	70	0	0	–	50.2	+4.0
Ilias Bronkhorst Defender	90	0	0	–	48.1	+3.6
Simon Janssen Defender	28	0	0	0.38	42.0	–
Jerolldino Bergraaf Forward	76	0	0	–	39.8	−0.8
Casper Widell Defender	90	0	0	–	39.4	−6.8
Adam Carlén Midfielder	20	0	0	–	39.1	–
Arthur Zagre Defender	62	0	0	–	38.2	−11.4
Noah Naujoks Midfielder	14	0	0	–	21.2	–