FOOTYBOT
Matchday

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2025, Semifinals · 22 Oct 2025

Independiente del Valle 1–1 Atlético Mineiro

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.5 – 1.0
Actual xG
1.1 – 1.7
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Independiente del Valle favourites at 47%.

Atlético Mineiro deserved more from the draw, creating 1.7 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ruan, 65.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Ruan +13.3, Guido Villar +8.7.

Well below it: Patrik Mercado −15.1, Vitor Hugo −14.6, Guilherme Arana −13.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Independiente del Valle

25 Sep 2025W 2–0at Once Caldas Copa Sudamericana
18 Sep 2025L 0–2v Once Caldas Copa Sudamericana
20 Aug 2025L 1–2at Mushuc Runa SC Copa Sudamericana
13 Aug 2025W 1–0v Mushuc Runa SC Copa Sudamericana
23 Jul 2025D 1–1at Vasco da Gama Copa Sudamericana

Atlético Mineiro

18 Oct 2025L 0–1at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
16 Oct 2025D 1–1v Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
8 Oct 2025W 3–1v Sport Recife Brasileirão Série A
4 Oct 2025L 0–3at Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
1 Oct 2025D 0–0v Juventude Brasileirão Série A

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Independiente del Valle

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Junior Sornoza Midfielder84100.8662.8–
Richard Schunke Defender9000–60.9+0.7
Guido Villar Goalkeeper9000–55.2+8.7
Andy Velasco Defender6400–49.6–
Gustavo Cortez Defender9000–49.6+6.9
Jhegson Méndez Midfielder1000–48.0–
Jordy Alcivar Midfielder90000.0247.8+0.0
Michael Hoyos Forward84000.0543.9–
Luis Felipe Zárate Defender2600–43.2–
Justin Lerma Midfielder22000.0242.6–
Patrik Mercado Midfielder90000.1440.4−15.1
Yandri Vasquez Forward1000–38.6–
Claudio Spinelli Forward90000.0337.9−10.8

Atlético Mineiro

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Dudu Forward28101.13100.0–
Hulk Forward1701–100.0–
Caio Paulista Defender1100–88.6–
Ruan Defender9000–65.6+13.3
Gabriel Menino Midfielder45000.0359.7+7.7
Everson Goalkeeper9000–52.3−0.5
Bernard Midfielder62000.4649.0−6.9
Alan Franco Midfielder9000–46.5+1.7
Vitor Hugo Defender9000–43.7−14.6
Junior Alonso Defender9000–43.3−5.9
Igor Gomes Midfielder90000.0141.9−10.3
Natanael Defender45000.0641.4−4.2
Gustavo Scarpa Midfielder73000.0239.5−10.0
Rony Forward7300–37.8−10.3
Biel Forward1700–37.0–
Guilherme Arana Defender7900–35.8−13.8