CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Final · 29 Nov 2025

Palmeiras 0–1 Flamengo

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Standout: Felipe Anderson scored 97.6

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Palmeiras favourites at 48%.

Flamengo won a close one on the chances: 0.7 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Danilo, 87.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Danilo +30.4, Guillermo Varela +25.0, Alex Sandro +14.4.

Well below it: Murilo −20.6, Raphael Veiga −20.1, Bruno Henrique −17.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

26 Nov 2025	L 2–3	at Grêmio Brasileirão Série A
23 Nov 2025	D 0–0	v Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
19 Nov 2025	D 0–0	v Vitória Brasileirão Série A
16 Nov 2025	L 0–1	at Santos Brasileirão Série A
9 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at Mirassol Brasileirão Série A

26 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at Atlético Mineiro Brasileirão Série A
23 Nov 2025	W 3–0	v Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A
20 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
15 Nov 2025	W 5–1	at Sport Recife Brasileirão Série A
9 Nov 2025	W 3–2	v Santos Brasileirão Série A

19 Oct 2025	Flamengo 3–2 Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Felipe Anderson Midfielder	15	–	97.6	–
Agustín Giay Defender	12	–	80.4	–
Facundo Torres Midfielder	18	–	66.9	–
Gustavo Gómez Defender	90	0.06	63.5	+10.0
Bruno Fuchs Defender	90	–	59.0	+7.1
Ramón Sosa Forward	12	–	54.5	–
Carlos Miguel Goalkeeper	90	–	52.7	−1.1
Vitor Roque Forward	90	0.61	49.8	−5.3
José Manuel López Forward	90	0.23	48.7	−0.3
Andreas Pereira Midfielder	90	–	48.3	−7.7
Mauricio Midfielder	9	–	47.2	–
Allan Midfielder	72	0.04	44.8	−9.0
Joaquín Piquerez Defender	90	0.01	43.3	−6.0
Khellven Defender	78	–	43.2	−6.1
Murilo Defender	78	0.05	38.4	−20.6
Raphael Veiga Midfielder	72	–	36.4	−20.1

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Danilo Defender	90	1	0	0.18	87.6	+30.4
Guillermo Varela Defender	90	0	0	–	75.1	+25.0
Léo Pereira Defender	90	0	0	0.01	68.3	+10.0
Alex Sandro Defender	90	0	0	–	66.3	+14.4
Juninho Forward	11	0	0	–	60.6	–
Luiz Araújo Midfielder	10	0	0	–	60.3	–
Giorgian de Arrascaeta Midfielder	80	0	1	0.18	60.3	−1.3
Samuel Lino Midfielder	68	0	0	0.04	58.9	+7.3
Jorge Carrascal Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	58.7	−8.2
Erick Pulgar Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	55.9	+1.0
Everton Cebolinha Midfielder	22	0	0	0.09	55.3	–
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	53.2	+5.0
Jorginho Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	45.6	−8.8
Bruno Henrique Forward	85	0	0	0.06	41.4	−17.6