Coppa Italia 25/26, Round of 16 · 4 Dec 2025

Lazio 1–0 AC Milan

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Lazio 38%, the draw 27%, AC Milan 35%.

Lazio won although AC Milan made the better chances (1.1 xG to 0.5): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Pervis Estupiñán, 67.0 in 87′.

Well above their usual level: Pervis Estupiñán +18.6, Ruben Loftus-Cheek +11.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

29 Nov 2025	AC Milan 1–0 Lazio Serie A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nuno Tavares Defender	19	0	1	–	69.4	–
Matteo Cancellieri Forward	12	0	0	–	67.4	–
Pedro Forward	12	0	0	–	57.1	–
Christos Mandas Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	55.5	–
Mattia Zaccagni Forward	83	1	0	0.08	52.1	+1.4
Tijjani Noslin Forward	32	0	0	0.06	49.3	–
Toma Bašić Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	47.4	−1.3
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Midfielder	32	0	0	–	47.3	–
Mario Gila Defender	90	0	0	–	46.6	−5.2
Gustav Isaksen Forward	83	0	0	0.06	44.0	−10.5
Alessio Romagnoli Defender	90	0	0	–	43.8	−6.7
Adam Marušić Defender	90	0	0	–	42.6	+0.9
Matías Vecino Midfielder	58	0	0	–	41.9	−8.7
Valentín Castellanos Forward	58	0	0	0.18	40.0	−8.5
Mattéo Guendouzi Midfielder	90	0	0	–	38.3	−10.3
Luca Pellegrini Defender	71	0	0	0.03	36.1	−2.5

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Luka Modrić Midfielder	9	–	100.0	–
Christian Pulišić Forward	9	0.14	100.0	–
Davide Bartesaghi Midfielder	8	–	100.0	–
Pervis Estupiñán Midfielder	87	–	67.0	+18.6
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Midfielder	81	0.52	58.1	+11.9
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper	90	–	57.2	+6.9
Strahinja Pavlović Defender	90	0.11	54.1	+1.1
Koni De Winter Defender	90	–	52.3	+2.4
Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder	64	0.03	49.7	−2.7
Ardon Jashari Midfielder	81	–	46.8	–
Fikayo Tomori Defender	90	–	45.7	−0.7
Samuele Ricci Midfielder	90	–	45.2	−3.0
Rafael Leão Forward	90	0.28	43.8	−9.6
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder	90	–	40.7	−11.5
Christopher Nkunku Forward	26	–	38.0	–