Coppa Italia 25/26, Quarterfinals · 11 Feb 2026

Bologna 1–1 Lazio

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Bologna favourites at 56%.

Lazio deserved more from the draw, creating 3.9 xG to 3.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Tijjani Noslin, 73.0 in 46′.

Well above their usual level: Tijjani Noslin +31.7, Nicolò Cambiaghi +13.3, Santiago Castro +11.1.

Well below it: Nicolò Rovella −18.9, Gustav Isaksen −16.5, Martin Vitík −10.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

8 Feb 2026	L 0–1	v Parma Serie A
3 Feb 2026	L 0–3	v AC Milan Serie A
29 Jan 2026	W 3–0	at Maccabi Tel Aviv Europa League
25 Jan 2026	L 2–3	at Genoa Serie A
22 Jan 2026	D 2–2	v Celtic Europa League

7 Dec 2025	Lazio 1–1 Bologna Serie A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Eivind Helland Defender	10	0	0	–	75.9	–
Thijs Dallinga Forward	10	0	0	0.76	71.6	–
Santiago Castro Forward	80	1	0	0.50	60.0	+11.1
Nicolò Cambiaghi Forward	70	0	0	–	59.0	+13.3
Nikola Moro Midfielder	61	0	1	0.03	49.0	−1.4
Łukasz Skorupski Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.1	−0.9
Jhon Lucumí Defender	80	0	0	–	47.5	−1.4
Juan Miranda Defender	90	0	0	–	46.7	−7.4
Lewis Ferguson Midfielder	90	0	0	0.93	45.2	−4.2
Riccardo Orsolini Midfielder	90	0	0	0.90	42.4	−3.1
Simon Sohm Midfielder	20	0	0	–	41.6	–
Remo Freuler Midfielder	29	0	0	–	40.0	–
Martin Vitík Defender	90	0	0	–	39.4	−10.1
Jens Odgaard Midfielder	70	0	0	0.12	37.2	−8.9
Nadir Zortea Defender	90	0	0	–	35.5	−8.5
Federico Bernardeschi Forward	20	0	0	–	33.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Tijjani Noslin Forward	46	1	0	0.66	73.0	+31.7
Pedro Forward	44	0	0	–	60.8	–
Nuno Tavares Defender	10	0	0	0.76	59.9	–
Boulaye Dia Forward	29	0	0	0.76	57.3	–
Mario Gila Defender	90	0	0	–	55.4	+6.7
Alessio Romagnoli Defender	90	0	0	0.05	54.8	+8.0
Matteo Cancellieri Forward	10	0	0	–	50.7	–
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Midfielder	90	0	1	–	49.9	+4.9
Adam Marušić Defender	90	0	0	0.76	49.8	+8.2
Kenneth Taylor Midfielder	90	0	0	0.76	47.4	−0.7
Nicolò Rovella Midfielder	61	0	0	–	46.8	−18.9
Ivan Provedel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	46.4	−5.3
Danilo Cataldi Midfielder	29	0	0	0.04	45.5	–
Luca Pellegrini Defender	80	0	0	–	43.4	+2.2
Daniel Maldini Forward	61	0	0	0.11	40.5	−8.4
Gustav Isaksen Forward	80	0	0	0.02	40.1	−16.5