FA Cup 25/26, Round 5 · 7 Mar 2026

Wrexham 2–2 Chelsea

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Chelsea favourites at 68%.

Wrexham deserved more from the draw, creating 2.6 xG to 2.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Dário Essugo, 65.4 in 55′.

Well above their usual level: Callum Doyle +15.6, Max Cleworth +12.1, Sam Smith +10.6.

Well below it: Marc Cucurella −19.6, Roméo Lavia −12.7, Arthur Okonkwo −11.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

28 Feb 2026	W 1–0	at Charlton Athletic Championship
24 Feb 2026	W 2–1	v Portsmouth Championship
21 Feb 2026	W 5–3	v Ipswich Town Championship
17 Feb 2026	D 2–2	at Bristol City Championship
13 Feb 2026	W 1–0	v Ipswich Town FA Cup

4 Mar 2026	W 4–1	at Aston Villa Premier League
1 Mar 2026	L 1–2	at Arsenal Premier League
21 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v Burnley Premier League
13 Feb 2026	W 4–0	at Hull City FA Cup
10 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v Leeds United Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nathan Broadhead Forward	44	0	0	–	63.4	–
Sam Smith Forward	66	1	0	0.10	56.9	+10.6
Callum Doyle Defender	105	1	1	0.25	50.7	+15.6
Kieffer Moore Forward	54	0	0	0.42	49.7	+8.4
Max Cleworth Defender	112	0	0	0.05	48.6	+12.1
George Thomason Midfielder	120	0	0	0.07	46.9	+2.8
Dominic Hyam Defender	120	0	0	–	46.2	+6.7
Josh Windass Forward	54	0	1	0.11	45.9	+0.4
Oliver Rathbone Forward	66	0	0	0.20	45.7	−2.2
Lewis O'Brien Midfielder	120	0	0	0.38	45.5	+2.4
Davis Keillor-Dunn Forward	8	0	0	–	43.1	–
Lewis Brunt Defender	15	0	0	–	42.9	–
Ryan Longman Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.6	+4.0
Zak Vyner Defender	76	0	0	0.11	38.6	+6.8
Ryan Barnett Midfielder	30	0	0	–	35.5	–
George Dobson Midfielder	93	0	0	–	34.8	−5.8
Arthur Okonkwo Goalkeeper	120	0	0	0.88	33.2	−11.4

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
João Pedro Forward	35	1	0	0.20	73.8	–
Dário Essugo Midfielder	55	0	2	0.04	65.4	–
Tosin Adarabioyo Defender	120	0	0	–	54.9	−3.3
Pedro Neto Midfielder	100	0	0	0.15	53.0	+0.8
Alejandro Garnacho Forward	120	1	0	0.67	51.4	−2.5
Mamadou Sarr Defender	58	0	0	–	48.5	−5.0
Josh Acheampong Defender	85	1	0	0.30	47.6	−2.2
Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	46.1	−6.9
Benoît Badiashile Defender	120	0	0	–	46.1	−7.8
Andrey Santos Midfielder	120	0	0	0.04	46.0	−3.3
Roméo Lavia Midfielder	65	0	0	–	41.5	−12.7
Jorrel Hato Defender	65	0	0	0.16	40.5	−9.5
Liam Delap Forward	85	0	0	0.05	40.1	−9.0
Marc Guiu Forward	62	0	0	0.38	38.1	−9.7
Marc Cucurella Defender	55	0	0	–	35.4	−19.6
Malo Gusto Defender	35	0	0	–	32.9	–
Jesse Derry Midfielder	20	0	0	–	25.9	–