Bundesliga 26/27 · 25 Oct 2026

SC Freiburg 1–3 FC Bayern München

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made FC Bayern München favourites at 46%.

FC Bayern München won and made the better chances: 3.0 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Michael Olise, 98.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Michael Olise +16.5, Jonas Urbig +14.9, Dayot Upamecano +14.1.

Well below it: Harry Kane −17.9, Josip Stanišić −13.6, Lennart Karl −12.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

22 Oct 2026	L 0–3	at AS Monaco Conference League
18 Oct 2026	L 1–2	at Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
15 Oct 2026	W 3–2	v FK Jablonec Conference League
11 Oct 2026	W 2–1	v FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026	D 2–2	at Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga

21 Oct 2026	D 2–2	v Arsenal Champions League
17 Oct 2026	W 6–1	v RB Leipzig Bundesliga
13 Oct 2026	D 3–3	at Viking FK Champions League
10 Oct 2026	D 2–2	at FC Augsburg Bundesliga
18 Sep 2026	W 7–0	v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga

4 Apr 2026	SC Freiburg 2–3 FC Bayern München Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025	FC Bayern München 6–2 SC Freiburg Bundesliga

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Vincenzo Grifo Midfielder	13	0.03	100.0	–
Jordy Makengo Defender	90	–	61.5	+12.2
Philipp Lienhart Defender	77	–	58.9	+4.2
Igor Matanović Forward	33	0.31	58.2	–
Cyriaque Irié Midfielder	26	0.18	55.7	–
Matthias Ginter Defender	90	0.04	55.2	−0.1
Yuito Suzuki Midfielder	90	0.01	53.0	+7.4
Jan-Niklas Beste Midfielder	64	0.10	52.1	+1.9
Philipp Treu Defender	90	–	51.9	+4.7
Rihito Yamamoto Midfielder	32	–	51.6	–
Patrick Osterhage Midfielder	58	0.03	50.8	+7.4
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder	90	0.03	48.7	−3.2
Lucas Höler Forward	57	0.23	45.2	+2.6
Mio Backhaus Goalkeeper	90	–	43.5	+0.7
Derry Scherhant Forward	77	0.03	43.2	−9.4
Maximilian Rosenfelder Defender	13	–	41.7	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Michael Olise Midfielder	90	1	1	0.73	98.7	+16.5
Dayot Upamecano Defender	90	1	0	0.66	89.6	+14.1
Ismael Saibari Midfielder	29	0	0	0.43	77.5	–
Alphonso Davies Defender	17	0	0	–	72.3	–
Jonathan Tah Defender	90	0	0	–	66.5	+2.3
Jonas Urbig Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	65.4	+14.9
Hiroki Itō Defender	10	0	0	–	63.1	–
Serge Gnabry Midfielder	61	1	0	0.31	61.7	+1.4
Konrad Laimer Defender	90	0	0	–	56.4	+0.9
Tom Bischof Midfielder	90	0	0	–	55.7	−6.2
Harry Kane Forward	90	0	0	0.43	55.6	−17.9
Sacha Boey Defender	29	0	0	–	48.8	–
Lennart Karl Midfielder	86	0	0	0.08	45.3	−12.2
Josip Stanišić Defender	61	0	0	–	44.3	−13.6
Nathaniel Brown Defender	73	0	1	0.32	41.0	−8.7