UEFA Champions League 26/27 · 21 Oct 2026

FC Bayern München 2–2 Arsenal

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Chances everywhere: 3.9 xG · Standout: Declan Rice scored 89.4

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.8 – 1.2
Actual xG: 2.5 – 1.4
Goals: 2 – 2

Footybot made FC Bayern München favourites at 52%.

FC Bayern München deserved more from the draw, creating 2.5 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Declan Rice, 89.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Declan Rice +21.1, Ezri Konsa +19.6, Alphonso Davies +16.7.

Well below it: Kim Min-jae −21.2, Konrad Laimer −12.4, Aleksandar Pavlović −10.0.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

FC Bayern München

17 Oct 2026	W 6–1	v RB Leipzig Bundesliga
13 Oct 2026	D 3–3	at Viking FK Champions League
10 Oct 2026	D 2–2	at FC Augsburg Bundesliga
18 Sep 2026	W 7–0	v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
13 Sep 2026	W 2–1	at SV 07 Elversberg Bundesliga

Arsenal

18 Oct 2026	W 1–0	at Nottingham Forest Premier League
13 Oct 2026	W 3–0	v Lille Champions League
10 Oct 2026	W 2–1	v Leeds United Premier League
19 Sep 2026	L 0–3	at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
15 Sep 2026	W 4–2	at Ipswich Town EFL Cup

Head to head

26 Nov 2025	Arsenal 3–1 FC Bayern München Champions League

FC Bayern München

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Alphonso Davies Defender	85	1	0	0.62	84.5	+16.7
Harry Kane Forward	90	1	1	1.11	84.2	+12.1
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye Midfielder	1	0	0	–	75.7	–
Dayot Upamecano Defender	90	0	0	0.41	69.3	−8.2
Serge Gnabry Midfielder	68	0	0	0.16	67.9	+10.1
Tom Bischof Midfielder	90	0	0	–	67.8	+2.6
Jonathan Tah Defender	45	0	0	–	64.3	+0.8
Aleksandar Pavlović Midfielder	90	0	0	–	63.7	−10.0
Ismael Saibari Midfielder	68	0	0	0.07	60.6	+1.7
Josip Stanišić Defender	90	0	0	–	56.0	−2.9
Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	46.8	+1.7
Konrad Laimer Defender	90	0	0	0.11	44.8	−12.4
Kim Min-jae Defender	45	0	0	–	42.4	−21.2
Lennart Karl Midfielder	22	0	0	–	40.5	–
Luis Díaz Midfielder	21	0	0	0.04	35.2	–
Nathaniel Brown Defender	8	0	0	–	17.8	–

Arsenal

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Declan Rice Midfielder	90	1	0	0.10	89.4	+21.1
Bukayo Saka Forward	10	0	0	–	83.7	–
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	–	79.5	+19.6
Gabriel Magalhães Defender	90	0	0	–	78.2	+15.2
Bruno Guimarães Midfielder	69	0	0	0.19	72.1	+15.2
Eberechi Eze Midfielder	80	1	0	0.30	71.8	+11.6
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder	85	0	1	0.02	70.8	+3.3
Riccardo Calafiori Defender	90	0	0	0.36	65.0	+9.2
Kai Havertz Forward	68	0	0	0.30	57.3	+3.3
Mikel Merino Midfielder	8	0	0	0.07	56.2	–
Noni Madueke Forward	90	0	0	0.04	56.1	−6.5
David Raya Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	52.7	+2.9
Jurriën Timber Defender	90	0	0	0.04	48.1	−7.4
Viktor Gyökeres Forward	22	0	1	–	44.5	–
Myles Lewis-Skelly Defender	21	0	0	–	34.1	–