Premier League 26/27 · 18 Oct 2026

Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Arsenal favourites at 43%.

Arsenal won a close one on the chances: 1.1 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gabriel Magalhães, 100.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Gabriel Magalhães +42.4, Bruno Guimarães +22.7, Declan Rice +21.3.

Well below it: Eberechi Eze −22.2, Dan Ndoye −21.3, Nicolás Domínguez −14.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

11 Oct 2026	L 1–3	at Crystal Palace Premier League
19 Sep 2026	L 0–1	v Coventry City Premier League
12 Sep 2026	W 2–1	at Aston Villa Premier League
5 Sep 2026	D 0–0	v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
29 Aug 2026	D 2–2	at Liverpool FC Premier League

13 Oct 2026	W 3–0	v Lille Champions League
10 Oct 2026	W 2–1	v Leeds United Premier League
19 Sep 2026	L 0–3	at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
15 Sep 2026	W 4–2	at Ipswich Town EFL Cup
12 Sep 2026	W 2–0	at Sunderland Premier League

17 Jan 2026	Nottingham Forest 0–0 Arsenal Premier League
13 Sep 2025	Arsenal 3–0 Nottingham Forest Premier League

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	9	–	100.0	–
Murillo Defender	90	0.23	61.2	+7.3
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	16	–	59.1	–
Chris Wood Forward	9	0.08	58.0	–
James McAtee Midfielder	85	0.10	54.9	+3.0
Neco Williams Defender	90	0.08	54.4	+0.4
Liam Delap Forward	90	0.16	53.4	+5.2
Jair Defender	85	–	49.8	+5.9
Xaver Schlager Midfielder	90	0.02	48.1	−7.3
Ousmane Diomande Defender	90	–	46.2	−8.2
Daniel Muñoz Midfielder	90	–	44.0	−7.8
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder	74	–	42.1	−14.3
Arnaud Kalimuendo Forward	17	–	41.9	–
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	90	–	41.7	−5.8
Dan Ndoye Midfielder	73	0.08	38.9	−21.3

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Gabriel Magalhães Defender	90	0	0	0.36	100.0	+42.4
Declan Rice Midfielder	90	0	1	0.20	87.7	+21.3
Jurriën Timber Defender	24	0	0	–	80.5	–
Bruno Guimarães Midfielder	66	0	0	–	79.1	+22.7
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	–	78.3	+17.0
Noni Madueke Forward	45	1	0	0.06	66.0	+4.3
Mikel Merino Midfielder	24	0	0	0.09	62.9	–
Viktor Gyökeres Forward	24	0	0	0.08	59.1	–
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder	90	0	0	–	57.4	−10.2
Bukayo Saka Forward	90	0	0	–	55.9	−9.8
Riccardo Calafiori Defender	90	0	0	–	55.5	−0.5
Kai Havertz Forward	66	0	0	0.28	52.7	−2.8
David Raya Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.7	+0.9
Ben White Defender	66	0	0	–	43.3	−2.7
Eberechi Eze Midfielder	45	0	0	–	37.7	−22.2