VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 25/26 · 14 Feb 2026

Excelsior 1–2 AZ Alkmaar

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made AZ Alkmaar favourites at 42%.

AZ Alkmaar won and made the better chances: 2.0 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Isak Jensen, 67.7 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Elijah Dijkstra +22.6, Isak Jensen +20.8, Kasper Boogaard +16.6.

Well below it: Gyan de Regt −12.7, Jizz Hornkamp −11.2, Lewis Schouten −10.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

21 Jan 2026	AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior Eredivisie

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Miliano Jonathans Forward	11	0	–	75.1	–
Irakli Yegoian Midfielder	90	0	0.19	59.7	+11.4
Derensili Sanches Fernandes Forward	79	0	0.32	58.8	+12.7
Stijn van Gassel Goalkeeper	90	0	–	52.9	−1.7
Noah Naujoks Midfielder	69	0	0.02	47.8	+1.1
Casper Widell Defender	90	0	–	47.2	+0.3
Rick Meissen Defender	90	0	–	46.9	+0.7
Lennard Hartjes Midfielder	84	0	0.12	45.5	−1.2
Ilias Bronkhorst Defender	69	1	0.02	44.9	−0.6
Arthur Zagre Defender	90	0	–	42.3	−6.0
Lewis Schouten Defender	84	0	0.08	40.6	−10.1
Jerolldino Bergraaf Forward	21	0	–	38.2	–
Gyan de Regt Midfielder	90	0	–	38.1	−12.7
Adam Carlén Midfielder	13	0	–	34.9	–
Simon Janssen Defender	21	0	–	33.3	–
Stan Henderikx Defender	13	0	–	32.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Isak Jensen Forward	45	0	0	–	67.7	+20.8
Elijah Dijkstra Defender	45	0	0	–	66.3	+22.6
Mexx Meerdink Forward	20	0	0	0.40	65.8	–
Alexandre Penetra Defender	90	1	0	0.29	61.5	+14.7
Ro-Zangelo Daal Midfielder	45	0	0	–	59.1	+14.4
Kasper Boogaard Midfielder	90	0	1	0.08	58.8	+16.6
Troy Parrott Forward	90	1	0	0.68	57.7	+11.0
Sven Mijnans Midfielder	33	0	0	0.23	48.7	–
Wouter Goes Defender	90	0	0	–	47.7	+3.9
Ibrahim Sadiq Forward	45	0	0	0.09	47.2	−0.9
Jeroen Zoet Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.1	−3.8
Rio Robbemond Midfielder	70	0	0	–	47.1	–
Mees De Wit Defender	90	0	1	–	45.6	−0.2
Jizz Hornkamp Forward	57	0	0	0.07	45.4	−11.2
Weslley Patati Forward	45	0	0	0.17	44.0	+0.5
Mateo Chávez Defender	45	0	0	–	41.4	−4.5