Vitória SC 2–1 CF Estrela Amadora
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.6 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 1.5 – 1.0
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Vitória SC favourites at 58%.
Vitória SC won a close one on the chances: 1.5 xG to 1.0.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Thiago Balieiro, 53.3 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Tony Strata +8.4.
Well below it: Telmo Arcanjo −18.5, Noah Saviolo −14.6, Gustavo Silva −14.3.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Vitória SC
| 7 Feb 2026 | L 2–3 | at FC Arouca |
| 30 Jan 2026 | W 1–0 | v Moreirense |
| 24 Jan 2026 | L 2–4 | at Estoril Praia |
| 18 Jan 2026 | L 0–1 | v FC Porto |
| 2 Jan 2026 | W 2–1 | v CD Nacional |
CF Estrela Amadora
| 7 Feb 2026 | W 1–0 | v Santa Clara |
| 31 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | at FC Alverca |
| 25 Jan 2026 | L 0–4 | at Benfica |
| 19 Jan 2026 | L 0–5 | v Estoril Praia |
| 3 Jan 2026 | D 3–3 | v Sporting Braga |
Head to head
| 14 Sep 2025 | CF Estrela Amadora 0–2 Vitória SC |
Vitória SC
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Balieiro | 90 | 53.3 | – |
| Charles | 90 | 52.1 | +1.6 |
| Miguel Maga | 16 | 50.1 | – |
| Orest Lebedenko | 1 | 45.3 | – |
| Beni Mukendi | 90 | 44.8 | −4.5 |
| Tony Strata | 74 | 44.1 | +8.4 |
| Rodrigo Abascal | 16 | 43.8 | – |
| Diogo Sousa | 90 | 42.6 | −4.3 |
| Miguel Nóbrega | 74 | 41.3 | −1.2 |
| Oumar Camara | 45 | 40.5 | −5.0 |
| Nélson Oliveira | 45 | 35.3 | −7.8 |
| Samu | 90 | 34.0 | −7.6 |
| João Mendes | 90 | 32.5 | −7.3 |
| Gustavo Silva | 45 | 32.3 | −14.3 |
| Noah Saviolo | 89 | 32.0 | −14.6 |
| Telmo Arcanjo | 45 | 31.6 | −18.5 |
CF Estrela Amadora
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robinho | 25 | 51.9 | – |
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 51.2 | +6.4 |
| Billal Brahimi | 15 | 50.5 | – |
| Jefferson Encada | 90 | 48.8 | +6.4 |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 47.3 | −0.7 |
| Abraham Marcus | 90 | 45.7 | +0.0 |
| Stefan Leković | 65 | 45.2 | – |
| Otavio | 65 | 43.6 | −6.0 |
| Bernardo Schappo | 90 | 43.4 | −5.9 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 65 | 41.7 | +0.8 |
| Leandro Antonetti | 25 | 41.3 | – |
| Paulo Moreira | 90 | 41.3 | −0.3 |
| Ianis Stoica | 13 | 39.5 | – |
| Jovane Cabral | 83 | 39.2 | −11.7 |
| Eddy Doué | 75 | 37.3 | −9.3 |
| Max Scholze | 25 | 36.5 | – |