CF Estrela Amadora 0–2 Tondela
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.3 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 1.1 – 1.3
- Goals
- 0 – 2
Footybot made CF Estrela Amadora favourites at 40%.
Tondela won a close one on the chances: 1.3 xG to 1.1.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Abraham Marcus, 68.7 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Jefferson Encada +24.6, Abraham Marcus +18.6, Maranhão +10.2.
Well below it: Brayan Medina −12.4.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
CF Estrela Amadora
| 14 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | at Vitória SC |
| 7 Feb 2026 | W 1–0 | v Santa Clara |
| 31 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | at FC Alverca |
| 25 Jan 2026 | L 0–4 | at Benfica |
| 19 Jan 2026 | L 0–5 | v Estoril Praia |
Tondela
| 13 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | v FC Alverca |
| 7 Feb 2026 | D 2–2 | at Estoril Praia |
| 1 Feb 2026 | D 0–0 | v Benfica |
| 25 Jan 2026 | L 0–3 | at Famalicão |
| 18 Jan 2026 | L 0–1 | v Sporting Braga |
Head to head
| 21 Sep 2025 | Tondela 0–0 CF Estrela Amadora |
CF Estrela Amadora
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abraham Marcus | 90 | 68.7 | +18.6 |
| Jefferson Encada | 73 | 68.3 | +24.6 |
| Ianis Stoica | 25 | 65.0 | – |
| Billal Brahimi | 45 | 61.8 | – |
| Otavio | 45 | 57.0 | +0.9 |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 56.3 | +4.8 |
| Stefan Leković | 90 | 53.5 | – |
| Jovane Cabral | 73 | 52.0 | −0.7 |
| Eddy Doué | 45 | 44.3 | −1.9 |
| Kevin Höög Jansson | 65 | 44.3 | – |
| Sydney van Hooijdonk | 90 | 43.9 | −1.2 |
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 43.0 | −3.9 |
| Paulo Moreira | 90 | 41.8 | −2.0 |
| Tom Moustier | 17 | 38.9 | – |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 17 | 38.3 | – |
| Max Scholze | 45 | 38.1 | – |
Tondela
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maranhão | 89 | 58.8 | +10.2 |
| Hélder Tavares | 23 | 56.9 | – |
| Bernardo Fontes | 90 | 56.3 | +7.3 |
| Bebeto | 89 | 53.8 | +6.4 |
| Hugo Félix | 72 | 47.8 | +3.6 |
| Rodrigo Conceição | 90 | 44.6 | −3.3 |
| João Silva | 90 | 42.2 | −1.3 |
| Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | 90 | 41.9 | – |
| Christian Marques | 90 | 38.7 | −3.1 |
| Cicero | 67 | 38.6 | −7.3 |
| Joe Hodge | 67 | 38.4 | −6.5 |
| Yaya Sithole | 23 | 37.2 | – |
| Makan Aïko | 18 | 37.0 | – |
| Brayan Medina | 90 | 37.0 | −12.4 |
| João Afonso | 12 | 36.8 | – |
| Tiago Manso | 12 | 22.6 | – |