Africa Cup of Nations 2025 · 30 Dec 2025

Uganda 1–3 Nigeria

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Nigeria favourites at 44%.

Nigeria won and made the better chances: 2.3 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Raphael Onyedika, 66.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Rogers Mato +18.4, Raphael Onyedika +16.7, Paul Onuachu +11.6.

Well below it: Francis Uzoho −13.0, Victor Osimhen −12.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

27 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Tanzania Africa Cup of Nations
23 Dec 2025	L 1–3	at Tunisia Africa Cup of Nations
18 Nov 2025	L 0–4	at Morocco International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025	W 2–1	v Chad International Friendlies

27 Dec 2025	W 3–2	v Tunisia Africa Cup of Nations
23 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Tanzania Africa Cup of Nations
16 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Egypt International Friendlies

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Allan Okello Midfielder	45	0	1	–	62.6	–
Rogers Mato Forward	90	1	0	0.18	56.0	+18.4
Aziz Kayondo Defender	90	0	0	–	55.0	–
Travis Mutyaba Midfielder	45	0	0	–	47.3	–
Byaruhanga Bobosi Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	47.3	–
Denis Omedi Forward	45	0	0	0.12	43.4	–
Jude Ssemugabi Forward	10	0	0	–	41.5	–
Kenneth Semakula Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	41.5	−5.0
Uche Ikpeazu Forward	85	0	0	0.02	40.0	–
Baba Alhassan Midfielder	59	0	0	–	38.5	−7.3
Steven Mukwala Forward	45	0	0	–	37.8	–
Toby Sibbick Defender	90	0	0	–	37.3	−3.6
Jordan Obita Defender	90	0	0	–	37.1	−3.1
Denis Onyango Goalkeeper	45	0	0	–	18.4	–
Legason Nafiani Alionzi Goalkeeper	31	0	0	–	0.0	–
Salim Jamal Magoola Goalkeeper	11	0	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Zaidu Sanusi Defender	13	0	0	–	71.4	–
Raphael Onyedika Midfielder	90	2	0	0.31	66.5	+16.7
Samuel Chukwueze Midfielder	89	0	2	0.25	60.1	+3.5
Paul Onuachu Forward	76	1	0	0.89	58.7	+11.6
Moses Simon Forward	90	0	0	0.52	56.8	+10.8
Calvin Bassey Defender	45	0	0	–	54.8	+0.5
Igoh Ogbu Defender	90	0	0	–	52.5	–
Chidozie Awaziem Defender	45	0	0	0.26	50.0	−0.5
Onyemaechi Bruno Defender	77	0	0	0.03	49.0	–
Ryan Alebiosu Midfielder	90	0	0	–	48.6	+9.6
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Midfielder	90	0	1	0.03	45.1	+1.7
Tochukwu Nnadi Midfielder	14	0	0	–	43.7	–
Victor Osimhen Forward	87	0	0	0.04	43.4	−12.7
Francis Uzoho Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.2	−13.0
Salim Fago Lawal Forward	1	0	0	–	37.7	–
Akor Adams Forward	8	0	0	–	32.3	–