Africa Cup of Nations 2025, Round of 16 · 3 Jan 2026

Mali 1–1 Tunisia

Picked for matchday: Chances everywhere: 9.8 xG · Standout: Hamari Traoré scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Mali favourites at 52%.

A draw the chances agree with: 4.9 xG to 4.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Elias Saad, 82.1 in 50′.

Well above their usual level: Elias Saad +34.6, Yan Valery +19.0, Hannibal Mejbri +8.3.

Well below it: Ousmane Camara −13.4, Abdoulaye Diaby −11.8, Ismael Gharbi −10.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

29 Dec 2025	D 0–0	at Comoros Africa Cup of Nations
26 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Morocco Africa Cup of Nations
22 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Zambia Africa Cup of Nations
18 Nov 2025	D 0–0	at Jordan International Friendlies

30 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Tanzania Africa Cup of Nations
27 Dec 2025	L 2–3	at Nigeria Africa Cup of Nations
23 Dec 2025	W 3–1	v Uganda Africa Cup of Nations
18 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Botswana International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at Brazil International Friendlies

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Hamari Traoré Defender	3	0	–	100.0	–
Gaoussou Diakite Forward	31	0	0.76	75.0	–
Lassine Sinayoko Forward	120	1	1.61	56.6	−1.7
Djigui Diarra Goalkeeper	120	0	–	53.6	+4.4
El Bilal Touré Midfielder	31	0	0.76	50.8	–
Dorgeles Nene Forward	63	0	0.82	47.8	−0.5
Mamadou Sangare Midfielder	89	0	0.03	46.3	−9.0
Yves Bissouma Midfielder	120	0	0.76	45.5	–
Abdoulaye Diaby Defender	120	0	–	42.9	−11.8
Mahamadou Doumbia Midfielder	57	0	0.07	41.5	−7.7
Aliou Dieng Midfielder	110	0	–	38.9	–
Lassana Coulibaly Midfielder	117	0	–	37.9	−7.3
Ibrahima Sissoko Midfielder	10	0	0.06	37.2	–
Woyo Coulibaly Defender	26	0	–	36.3	–
Ousmane Camara Defender	120	0	0.04	35.7	−13.4
Amadou Dante Defender	89	0	0.05	34.2	−10.2

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Elias Saad Forward	50	0	1	0.81	82.1	+34.6
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane Midfielder	35	0	0	0.76	64.0	–
Firas Chaouat Forward	50	1	0	0.35	60.9	–
Yan Valery Defender	111	0	0	–	59.0	+19.0
Yassine Meriah Defender	108	0	0	0.77	58.4	–
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder	85	0	0	0.14	58.1	+8.3
Ellyes Skhiri Midfielder	120	0	0	0.08	50.7	+1.7
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud Midfielder	45	0	0	–	50.6	–
Ferjani Sassi Midfielder	120	0	0	–	49.6	+2.0
Ali Abdi Defender	120	0	0	0.89	49.5	−5.7
Elias Achouri Midfielder	75	0	0	0.76	49.4	+1.9
Montassar Talbi Defender	120	0	0	0.13	48.2	−4.4
Aymen Dahmen Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	44.2	+1.5
Mohamed Ben Ali Defender	9	0	0	–	38.5	–
Hazem Mastouri Forward	70	0	0	–	38.3	−6.1
Ismael Gharbi Midfielder	70	0	0	0.13	37.7	−10.7
Dylan Bronn Defender	12	0	0	–	27.5	–