Mali 0–1 Senegal
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.0 – 1.5
- Actual xG
- 1.0 – 1.9
- Goals
- 0 – 1
Footybot made Senegal favourites at 47%.
Senegal won and made the better chances: 1.9 xG to 1.0.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Krépin Diatta, 73.0 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Krépin Diatta +19.3, Kalidou Koulibaly +18.9, Iliman Ndiaye +16.0.
Well below it: Lassine Sinayoko −17.6, Yves Bissouma −16.0, Mamadou Sangare −8.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Mali
| 3 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | v Tunisia |
| 29 Dec 2025 | D 0–0 | at Comoros |
| 26 Dec 2025 | D 1–1 | at Morocco |
| 22 Dec 2025 | D 1–1 | v Zambia |
| 18 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | at Jordan |
Senegal
| 3 Jan 2026 | W 3–1 | v Sudan |
| 30 Dec 2025 | W 3–0 | at Benin |
| 27 Dec 2025 | D 1–1 | v DR Congo |
| 23 Dec 2025 | W 3–0 | v Botswana |
| 18 Nov 2025 | W 8–0 | at Kenya |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Mali
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kamory Doumbia | 8 | 100.0 | – |
| Djigui Diarra | 90 | 63.6 | +13.0 |
| Hamari Traoré | 90 | 58.9 | +12.5 |
| Ousmane Camara | 90 | 57.2 | +9.1 |
| Nathan Gassama | 90 | 56.2 | – |
| El Bilal Touré | 8 | 52.0 | – |
| Gaoussou Diakite | 21 | 47.4 | – |
| Mamadou Sangare | 82 | 46.9 | −8.0 |
| Lassana Coulibaly | 82 | 43.8 | −1.4 |
| Aliou Dieng | 69 | 43.6 | −3.3 |
| Abdoulaye Diaby | 90 | 43.6 | −7.6 |
| Yves Bissouma | 48 | 41.9 | −16.0 |
| Lassine Sinayoko | 82 | 41.8 | −17.6 |
| Dorgeles Nene | 35 | 39.3 | – |
| Mahamadou Doumbia | 8 | 39.1 | – |
| Amadou Haidara | 55 | 36.0 | – |
Senegal
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Krépin Diatta | 90 | 73.0 | +19.3 |
| Kalidou Koulibaly | 90 | 72.3 | +18.9 |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | 28 | 67.0 | – |
| Lamine Camara | 28 | 66.4 | – |
| Iliman Ndiaye | 75 | 64.6 | +16.0 |
| Moussa Niakhaté | 90 | 57.9 | +8.1 |
| Idrissa Gana Gueye | 90 | 57.5 | +4.1 |
| El Hadji Malick Diouf | 90 | 57.5 | +8.7 |
| Edouard Mendy | 90 | 55.6 | +4.2 |
| Sadio Mané | 90 | 53.2 | +0.3 |
| Pape Gueye | 62 | 48.4 | +1.9 |
| Habib Diarra | 62 | 46.6 | +5.3 |
| Habibou Diallo | 75 | 43.9 | −4.7 |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 15 | 41.8 | – |
| Cherif Ndiaye | 15 | 39.7 | – |