Africa Cup of Nations 2025, Match for 3rd place · 17 Jan 2026

Egypt 0–0 Nigeria

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Chances everywhere: 7.5 xG · Standout: Chidera Ejuke scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.7 – 1.0
Actual xG: 3.5 – 4.0
Goals: 0 – 0

Footybot made Egypt favourites at 56%.

A draw the chances agree with: 3.5 xG to 4.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ademola Lookman, 66.2 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Bright Osayi-Samuel +18.9, Moses Simon +13.8.

Well below it: Mohamed Salah −24.4, Zizo −23.2, Onyemaechi Bruno −21.0.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Egypt

14 Jan 2026	L 0–1	at Senegal Africa Cup of Nations
10 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v Côte d'Ivoire Africa Cup of Nations
5 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Benin Africa Cup of Nations
29 Dec 2025	D 0–0	at Angola Africa Cup of Nations
26 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v South Africa Africa Cup of Nations

Nigeria

14 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Morocco Africa Cup of Nations
10 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Algeria Africa Cup of Nations
5 Jan 2026	W 4–0	v Mozambique Africa Cup of Nations
30 Dec 2025	W 3–1	at Uganda Africa Cup of Nations
27 Dec 2025	W 3–2	v Tunisia Africa Cup of Nations

Head to head

16 Dec 2025	Egypt 2–1 Nigeria International Friendlies

Egypt

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Mostafa Shobeir Goalkeeper	90	–	64.9	–
Mahmoud Saber Midfielder	30	0.76	61.2	–
Rami Rabia Defender	90	0.76	58.4	+1.7
Hamdy Fathy Midfielder	90	–	53.4	+3.7
Mohanad Lasheen Midfielder	90	–	52.1	–
Omar Marmoush Forward	30	0.76	48.3	–
Mohamed Hany Defender	90	–	48.0	−3.9
Ibrahim Adel Midfielder	17	–	44.5	–
Zizo Midfielder	60	–	43.9	−23.2
Khaled Sobhi Defender	90	–	43.4	–
Emam Ashour Midfielder	90	0.04	43.3	−9.6
Mahmoud Trézéguet Midfielder	60	0.01	40.3	−8.9
Mostafa Mohamed Forward	73	–	37.0	−8.1
Mohamed Salah Midfielder	90	1.18	35.9	−24.4

Nigeria

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Chidozie Awaziem Defender	1	–	100.0	–
Chidera Ejuke Forward	1	–	100.0	–
Alex Iwobi Midfielder	25	0.76	72.7	–
Ademola Lookman Forward	45	0.76	66.2	+7.5
Bright Osayi-Samuel Defender	65	–	63.9	+18.9
Moses Simon Forward	90	0.79	63.2	+13.8
Samuel Chukwueze Midfielder	89	0.11	55.9	−1.3
Igoh Ogbu Defender	90	–	51.9	–
Stanley Nwabali Goalkeeper	90	–	50.7	+1.8
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Midfielder	90	0.76	48.9	+5.0
Akor Adams Forward	90	0.80	47.5	−2.5
Semi Ajayi Defender	89	–	47.3	+0.7
Onyemaechi Bruno Defender	90	–	44.6	−21.0
Raphael Onyedika Midfielder	90	0.02	44.0	−6.0
Paul Onuachu Forward	45	–	40.2	−7.7