Africa Cup of Nations 2025, Round of 16 · 5 Jan 2026

Nigeria 4–0 Mozambique

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Nigeria favourites at 72%.

Nigeria won and made the better chances: 2.9 xG to 0.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Reinildo Mandava, 77.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Reinildo Mandava +28.8, Ademola Lookman +22.1, Victor Osimhen +15.5.

Well below it: Ernan −26.2, Geny Catamo −24.2, Diogo Calila −18.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

30 Dec 2025	W 3–1	at Uganda Africa Cup of Nations
27 Dec 2025	W 3–2	v Tunisia Africa Cup of Nations
23 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Tanzania Africa Cup of Nations
16 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Egypt International Friendlies

31 Dec 2025	L 1–2	v Cameroon Africa Cup of Nations
28 Dec 2025	W 3–2	at Gabon Africa Cup of Nations
24 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Côte d'Ivoire Africa Cup of Nations
17 Dec 2025	L 1–4	at Angola International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025	D 2–2	at Chad International Friendlies

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Midfielder	10	0	0	–	100.0	–
Ademola Lookman Forward	86	1	2	0.33	76.3	+22.1
Victor Osimhen Forward	68	2	0	1.27	69.7	+15.5
Akor Adams Forward	86	1	2	0.69	59.0	+13.2
Calvin Bassey Defender	90	0	0	–	58.2	+6.0
Raphael Onyedika Midfielder	10	0	0	0.09	56.9	–
Samuel Chukwueze Midfielder	4	0	0	–	53.8	–
Semi Ajayi Defender	90	0	0	0.03	52.4	+10.8
Alex Iwobi Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	48.7	−0.9
Wilfred Ndidi Midfielder	83	0	0	0.02	48.6	+1.4
Bright Osayi-Samuel Defender	90	0	0	0.22	48.3	+7.9
Stanley Nwabali Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	46.9	–
Moses Simon Forward	22	0	0	0.13	44.4	–
Frank Onyeka Midfielder	83	0	0	–	42.7	−8.3
Onyemaechi Bruno Defender	90	0	0	0.06	41.1	−15.1
Paul Onuachu Forward	4	0	0	–	29.8	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Reinildo Mandava Defender	90	–	77.3	+28.8
Bruno Langa Defender	90	–	70.2	+4.2
Edson Mexer Defender	90	–	57.7	+0.6
Witi Forward	61	0.10	47.8	+3.7
Manuel Kambala Midfielder	45	–	45.7	−7.3
Alfons Amade Midfielder	90	–	43.4	−2.3
Ricardo Guimaraes Midfielder	90	0.07	41.3	−14.9
Dominguês Pelembe Midfielder	45	–	41.2	+3.0
Chamito Alfandega Forward	29	–	40.9	–
Stanley Ratifo Forward	23	–	40.3	–
Nanani Infren Defender	45	–	39.4	–
Faisal Abdul Bangal Forward	67	–	38.1	–
Diogo Calila Defender	45	–	34.0	−18.2
Ernan Goalkeeper	82	–	32.6	−26.2
Geny Catamo Midfielder	90	–	31.2	−24.2
Ivane Urrubal Goalkeeper	8	–	0.0	–