Championship 25/26, Semifinals · 12 May 2026

Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Apr 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Southampton favourites at 44%.

Southampton deserved more from the draw, creating 2.1 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ross Stewart, 56.3 in 84′.

Well above their usual level: Callum Brittain +13.5, Riley McGree +8.4, Ross Stewart +8.3.

Well below it: Kuryu Matsuki −13.5, Dael Fry −10.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

9 May 2026	D 0–0	at Middlesbrough Championship
2 May 2026	W 3–1	at Preston North End Championship
28 Apr 2026	D 2–2	v Ipswich Town Championship
25 Apr 2026	L 1–2	at Manchester City FA Cup
21 Apr 2026	D 2–2	v Bristol City Championship

9 May 2026	D 0–0	v Southampton Championship
2 May 2026	D 2–2	at Wrexham Championship
25 Apr 2026	W 5–1	v Watford Championship
22 Apr 2026	W 1–0	v Sheffield Wednesday Championship
19 Apr 2026	D 2–2	at Ipswich Town Championship

9 May 2026	Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton Championship
4 Jan 2026	Middlesbrough 4–0 Southampton Championship
27 Sep 2025	Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ross Stewart Forward	84	1	0	1.07	56.3	+8.3
Ryan Manning Midfielder	120	0	0	0.42	53.5	+2.5
Welington Defender	1	0	0	–	52.5	–
Samuel Edozie Midfielder	34	0	0	0.06	49.9	–
Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	49.4	−5.9
Nathan Wood Defender	120	0	0	0.03	49.1	+5.8
Caspar Jander Midfielder	119	0	0	–	48.3	+1.8
Shea Charles Midfielder	120	1	0	0.06	47.5	−1.4
Cyle Larin Forward	36	0	0	0.05	43.3	–
Flynn Downes Midfielder	54	0	0	–	42.4	−2.2
Finn Azaz Midfielder	120	0	0	0.15	40.6	−3.8
James Bree Defender	120	0	0	0.03	39.1	+3.4
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Defender	120	0	1	0.19	38.6	−6.8
Leo Scienza Midfielder	85	0	0	–	36.7	−3.0
Kuryu Matsuki Midfielder	66	0	0	–	27.3	−13.5
Cameron Bragg Midfielder	1	0	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Sontje Hansen Forward	1	0	0	0.02	100.0	–
Riley McGree Midfielder	105	1	0	0.09	48.0	+8.4
Callum Brittain Defender	120	0	1	0.05	47.6	+13.5
Adilson Malanda Defender	120	0	0	–	46.5	+2.4
Solomon Brynn Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	46.2	+0.3
Aidan Morris Midfielder	120	0	0	–	45.8	−3.8
Alan Browne Midfielder	47	0	0	0.15	45.1	+2.4
Tommy Conway Forward	73	0	0	0.09	44.0	−3.8
Dael Fry Defender	120	0	0	0.24	43.6	−10.1
Jeremy Sarmiento Midfielder	15	0	0	0.04	42.3	–
David Strelec Forward	83	0	0	–	41.1	−3.0
Matt Targett Defender	120	0	0	–	40.7	−3.0
Leo Castledine Midfielder	37	0	0	0.03	37.3	–
Luke Ayling Defender	119	0	0	0.03	33.3	−6.1
Morgan Whittaker Midfielder	120	0	0	0.25	33.0	−3.8