Vitória 1–0 Grêmio
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.6 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 1.7 – 0.4
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Vitória favourites at 53%.
Vitória won and made the better chances: 1.7 xG to 0.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gustavo Martins, 63.0 in 98′.
Well above their usual level: Mathias Villasanti +8.8, Weverton +8.2.
Well below it: Erick −18.9, Emanuel Brítez −17.9, Jamerson −13.5.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Vitória
| 3 Sep 2026 | L 0–2 | v Vasco da Gama |
| 29 Aug 2026 | L 1–2 | at Atlético Mineiro |
| 27 Aug 2026 | L 0–1 | at Vasco da Gama |
| 23 Aug 2026 | L 0–2 | v Bahia |
| 16 Aug 2026 | W 1–0 | v Botafogo |
Grêmio
| 3 Sep 2026 | W 3–1 | v Internacional |
| 30 Aug 2026 | W 3–1 | v Chapecoense |
| 27 Aug 2026 | D 0–0 | at Internacional |
| 23 Aug 2026 | L 0–1 | at Red Bull Bragantino |
| 16 Aug 2026 | L 0–3 | at Atlético Mineiro |
Head to head
| 19 Mar 2026 | Grêmio 2–0 Vitória |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Grêmio 3–1 Vitória |
Vitória
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | 98 | 52.6 | +4.1 |
| Renê Sousa | 90 | 51.0 | +6.5 |
| Edenilson | 17 | 50.9 | – |
| Caique Gonçalves | 81 | 45.0 | −2.6 |
| Matheuzinho | 82 | 44.6 | −4.5 |
| Zé Vitor | 98 | 44.5 | −7.0 |
| Mateusinho | 98 | 40.0 | −8.8 |
| Jamerson | 98 | 40.0 | −13.5 |
| Fabrício Santos | 16 | 36.1 | – |
| Diego Tarzia | 82 | 35.3 | −8.0 |
| Marinho | 26 | 35.0 | – |
| Tomás Pochettino | 16 | 34.6 | – |
| Luan Cândido | 98 | 33.8 | −11.1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 8 | 33.6 | – |
| Emanuel Brítez | 98 | 32.8 | −17.9 |
| Erick | 72 | 26.9 | −18.9 |
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Martins | 98 | 63.0 | +7.9 |
| Weverton | 98 | 59.2 | +8.2 |
| Mathias Villasanti | 69 | 50.9 | +8.8 |
| Wallace | 98 | 48.2 | −7.2 |
| Tetê | 98 | 48.1 | −2.7 |
| José Enamorado | 29 | 47.0 | – |
| Caio Paulista | 53 | 46.6 | +2.9 |
| Cristian Pavón | 69 | 43.5 | −6.1 |
| Filip Krovinović | 98 | 43.4 | −5.6 |
| Juan Nardoni | 29 | 42.4 | – |
| Danilo Barbosa | 29 | 42.2 | – |
| Carlos Vinícius | 78 | 39.9 | −6.5 |
| Erick Noriega | 69 | 39.1 | −6.0 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 20 | 37.2 | – |
| Pedro Gabriel | 45 | 36.7 | −1.6 |
| Diego Caito | 98 | 35.6 | −5.3 |