Grêmio 3–1 Chapecoense
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 0.7 – 2.9
- Goals
- 3 – 1
Footybot made Grêmio favourites at 59%.
Grêmio won although Chapecoense made the better chances (2.9 xG to 0.7): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gustavo Martins, 71.4 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Weverton +24.2, Gustavo Martins +19.7, Yago Felipe +13.8.
Well below it: Anderson −20.4, Filip Krovinović −15.8, Pedro Gabriel −11.6.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Grêmio
| 27 Aug 2026 | D 0–0 | at Internacional |
| 23 Aug 2026 | L 0–1 | at Red Bull Bragantino |
| 16 Aug 2026 | L 0–3 | at Atlético Mineiro |
| 8 Aug 2026 | W 2–1 | v São Paulo |
| 5 Aug 2026 | W 1–0 | v Mirassol |
Chapecoense
| 23 Aug 2026 | W 1–0 | v São Paulo |
| 16 Aug 2026 | D 3–3 | v Bahia |
| 8 Aug 2026 | L 1–2 | at Coritiba |
| 5 Aug 2026 | L 0–2 | at Cruzeiro |
| 2 Aug 2026 | D 0–0 | v Cruzeiro |
Head to head
| 16 Mar 2026 | Chapecoense 1–1 Grêmio |
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Martins | 90 | 71.4 | +19.7 |
| Weverton | 90 | 71.3 | +24.2 |
| Tetê | 14 | 63.3 | – |
| Wallace | 90 | 53.0 | −2.7 |
| Cristian Pavón | 90 | 51.1 | −2.6 |
| Zortéa | 25 | 46.1 | – |
| Carlos Vinícius | 38 | 41.4 | – |
| Francis Amuzu | 76 | 40.0 | −3.4 |
| Danilo Barbosa | 65 | 39.5 | – |
| José Enamorado | 52 | 37.8 | −0.6 |
| Filip Krovinović | 90 | 37.3 | −15.8 |
| Mathias Villasanti | 90 | 36.2 | −7.9 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 52 | 35.9 | −7.1 |
| Marlon | 45 | 35.8 | −1.6 |
| João Pedro | 38 | 34.6 | – |
| Pedro Gabriel | 45 | 29.4 | −11.6 |
Chapecoense
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ênio | 10 | 68.5 | – |
| Giovanni Augusto | 80 | 65.4 | +13.2 |
| Fernando | 15 | 61.9 | – |
| Miguel Carvalho | 29 | 60.6 | – |
| Yago Felipe | 90 | 55.2 | +13.8 |
| Marcinho | 80 | 54.1 | +7.8 |
| Kauan | 90 | 50.6 | +4.9 |
| Eduardo Doma | 90 | 49.4 | +4.0 |
| Maurício Garcez | 61 | 47.6 | +5.9 |
| Bruno Matias | 61 | 45.8 | +3.5 |
| Franco Rossi | 29 | 45.1 | – |
| Tulio Eduardo | 90 | 44.7 | −6.5 |
| Dylan Borrero | 10 | 41.9 | – |
| Heitor | 90 | 41.8 | – |
| Bruno Pacheco | 75 | 37.2 | −11.3 |
| Anderson | 90 | 35.1 | −20.4 |