FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Championship 26/27 · 17 Oct 2026

Middlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.4 – 1.0
Actual xG
2.7 – 0.8
Goals
2 – 2

Footybot made Middlesbrough favourites at 68%.

Middlesbrough deserved more from the draw, creating 2.7 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gabriel Osho, 65.9 in 83′.

Well above their usual level: Alex Robertson +18.0, Ronan Kpakio +17.9, Gabriel Osho +17.4.

Well below it: Adilson Malanda −19.7, Amario Cozier-Duberry −18.0, Callum Brittain −14.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Middlesbrough

13 Oct 2026W 3–2at Stoke City Championship
10 Oct 2026W 1–0v Wolverhampton Championship
19 Sep 2026D 2–2at Birmingham City Championship
15 Sep 2026D 2–2v Millwall Championship
12 Sep 2026W 4–3v Norwich City Championship

Cardiff City

13 Oct 2026W 5–1v Watford Championship
10 Oct 2026L 1–2at Blackburn Rovers Championship
19 Sep 2026W 3–1v Charlton Athletic Championship
12 Sep 2026L 0–1at Bolton Wanderers Championship
8 Sep 2026D 1–1v Stoke City Championship

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Middlesbrough

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jeremy Sarmiento Midfielder1000.0593.3–
Sebastian Berhalter Midfielder45000.1156.2+8.1
Will Lankshear Forward45100.2454.2+4.1
Ashley Phillips Defender90000.1052.4+9.6
Tommy Conway Forward90100.4051.7+0.2
Luke Ayling Defender4500–50.3+0.8
Aidan Morris Midfielder90000.2239.8−13.7
Kyle Joseph Forward45000.4738.6−0.0
Riley McGree Midfielder7900–38.4−4.7
Amario Cozier-Duberry Midfielder74010.5838.3−18.0
Neto Borges Defender89000.4638.1−10.8
Radek Vitek Goalkeeper9000–37.4−9.7
Adilson Malanda Defender90000.0732.3−19.7
Callum Brittain Defender90010.0231.5−14.7
Myles Peart-Harris Midfielder1100–31.2–
Maximilian Arfsten Midfielder16000.0222.7–

Cardiff City

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
William Fish Defender2700–94.8–
Gabriel Osho Defender83000.3365.9+17.4
Alex Robertson Midfielder9000–64.6+18.0
Krystian Bielik Defender9000–60.6+9.9
Nathan Trott Goalkeeper9000–56.8+8.2
Ollie Tanner Midfielder79110.0653.5+13.4
Chris Willock Midfielder6300–53.4+10.0
Cian Ashford Midfielder90000.0552.3+10.0
Jack Moylan Midfielder90110.4149.7+7.2
Ronan Kpakio Defender7300–49.3+17.9
Joel Colwill Midfielder4500–48.3+8.2
David Turnbull Midfielder4500–46.3+9.2
Joel Bagan Defender9000–39.5+0.4
Isaak Davies Forward1100–33.8–
Calum Scanlon Defender1700–25.9–