Championship 26/27 · 19 Sep 2026

Birmingham City 2–2 Middlesbrough

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Birmingham City 37%, the draw 28%, Middlesbrough 35%.

Middlesbrough deserved more from the draw, creating 2.1 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ashley Phillips, 59.6 in 86′.

Well above their usual level: Ashley Phillips +19.5, Maximilian Arfsten +15.0, Myles Peart-Harris +12.5.

Well below it: James Beadle −14.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

12 Sep 2026	W 2–1	at Derby County Championship
9 Sep 2026	L 1–2	at Norwich City Championship
6 Sep 2026	D 2–2	v Wolverhampton Championship
1 Sep 2026	D 1–1	v Southampton Championship
28 Aug 2026	W 2–1	at Wrexham Championship

15 Sep 2026	D 2–2	v Millwall Championship
12 Sep 2026	W 4–3	v Norwich City Championship
8 Sep 2026	L 0–3	at Crystal Palace EFL Cup
5 Sep 2026	W 1–0	at Queens Park Rangers Championship
2 Sep 2026	D 1–1	at Burnley Championship

2 Mar 2026	Birmingham City 1–3 Middlesbrough Championship
8 Nov 2025	Middlesbrough 2–1 Birmingham City Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Liam Millar Midfielder	90	1	0	0.29	50.6	+9.1
Phil Neumann Defender	90	0	0	0.08	46.7	−1.8
Jhon Solís Midfielder	90	0	1	0.07	46.4	+6.3
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	0	0	–	45.9	−5.7
Bright Osayi-Samuel Defender	90	0	0	0.02	41.8	+4.5
Marvin Ducksch Forward	19	0	0	–	40.4	–
Luis Vázquez Forward	71	0	0	0.40	39.8	−2.6
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder	90	0	0	0.20	36.2	−0.5
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	36.0	−14.3
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	83	0	0	0.06	34.6	−2.9
Carlos Vicente Midfielder	89	0	0	0.02	33.6	−2.4
Alex Cochrane Defender	90	0	0	–	33.1	+8.0
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	12	0	0	–	27.7	–
Patrick Roberts Midfielder	1	0	0	–	5.4	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kyle Joseph Forward	9	0	0	0.28	63.6	–
Ashley Phillips Defender	86	0	0	0.10	59.6	+19.5
Amario Cozier-Duberry Midfielder	74	0	1	0.28	57.8	−4.8
Maximilian Arfsten Midfielder	86	1	0	0.17	57.8	+15.0
Adilson Malanda Defender	90	1	0	0.74	54.8	+5.9
Neto Borges Defender	9	0	0	–	54.6	–
Myles Peart-Harris Midfielder	63	0	0	0.12	50.0	+12.5
Radek Vitek Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	49.6	+1.5
Luke Ayling Defender	90	0	0	–	49.5	+4.7
Tommy Conway Forward	27	0	0	–	47.3	–
Aidan Morris Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	47.0	−5.2
Callum Brittain Defender	90	0	0	–	43.0	+1.0
Will Lankshear Forward	90	0	0	0.23	42.8	−6.4
Sebastian Berhalter Midfielder	27	0	0	–	42.2	–
Riley McGree Midfielder	63	0	0	0.05	37.5	−4.2
Jeremy Sarmiento Midfielder	16	0	0	–	33.1	–