FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Serie A 26/27 · 18 Oct 2026

AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.6 – 1.0
Actual xG
2.4 – 1.6
Goals
3 – 2

Footybot made AC Milan favourites at 52%.

AC Milan won and made the better chances: 2.4 xG to 1.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Adrien Rabiot, 66.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Raoul Bellanova +14.5, Nikola Krstović +9.6, Adrien Rabiot +9.5.

Well below it: Strahinja Pavlović −22.2, Christian Pulišić −18.1, Samuel Chukwueze −13.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

AC Milan

15 Oct 2026W 4–0at Red Bull Salzburg Europa League
11 Oct 2026D 1–1at Sassuolo Serie A
20 Sep 2026W 3–0v Lecce Serie A
16 Sep 2026L 0–2v Benfica Europa League
12 Sep 2026D 2–2at Lazio Serie A

Atalanta

15 Oct 2026W 3–1v Pafos FC Conference League
12 Oct 2026W 3–1v Venezia Serie A
20 Sep 2026L 0–2at Juventus Serie A
12 Sep 2026L 1–2v Cagliari Serie A
5 Sep 2026L 1–2at AS Roma Serie A

Head to head

10 May 2026AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta Serie A
28 Oct 2025Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan Serie A

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder90110.1666.3+9.5
Ardon Jashari Midfielder15000.0565.5–
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Midfielder1500–62.0–
Yunus Musah Midfielder75000.0855.6+8.9
Gonçalo Ramos Forward90101.6955.6+4.3
Pervis Estupiñán Midfielder1500–55.6–
Luka Modrić Midfielder7500–54.6−2.1
Mario Gila Defender84100.3754.3+5.9
Koni De Winter Defender9000–52.5−1.8
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper9000–49.4−2.3
Diego Moreira Midfielder90010.0147.2−11.2
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder3700–44.3–
Fikayo Tomori Defender1200–43.9–
Christian Pulišić Forward7500–39.9−18.1
Samuel Chukwueze Midfielder53000.0536.7−13.7
Strahinja Pavlović Defender9000–35.8−22.2

Atalanta

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder31100.4490.8–
Davide Zappacosta Midfielder15000.4170.1–
Raoul Bellanova Midfielder9001–66.2+14.5
Nicola Zalewski Midfielder3101–65.2–
Nikola Krstović Forward90100.6360.7+9.6
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper9000–53.1−1.0
Relja Obrić Defender7000–51.5–
Lazar Samardžić Midfielder75000.0951.5−4.6
Éderson Midfielder90000.0450.4+4.5
Mario Pašalić Midfielder5900–49.4−3.7
Thomas Kristensen Defender9000–49.4−3.7
Charles De Ketelaere Forward90000.0346.0−5.2
Jonathan Rowe Forward5900–45.2−1.0
Lorenzo Bernasconi Midfielder7500–41.2−10.3
Gianluca Scamacca Forward1500–36.5–
Sead Kolašinac Defender2000–27.6–