UEFA Champions League 25/26 · 1 Oct 2025

Villarreal 2–2 Juventus

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Standout: Ilias Akhomach scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Rafa Marín

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Villarreal favourites at 60%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.7 xG to 1.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Federico Gatti, 74.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Federico Gatti +21.0, João Mário +18.6, Manuel Locatelli +17.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

27 Sep 2025	W 1–0	v Athletic Club LaLiga
23 Sep 2025	W 2–1	at Sevilla LaLiga
20 Sep 2025	W 2–1	v Osasuna LaLiga
16 Sep 2025	L 0–1	at Tottenham Hotspur Champions League
13 Sep 2025	L 0–2	at Atlético Madrid LaLiga

27 Sep 2025	D 1–1	v Atalanta Serie A
20 Sep 2025	D 1–1	at Hellas Verona Serie A
16 Sep 2025	D 4–4	v Borussia Dortmund Champions League
13 Sep 2025	W 4–3	v Inter Serie A
31 Aug 2025	W 1–0	at Genoa Serie A

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ilias Akhomach Midfielder	14	0	1	–	100.0	–
Nicolas Pépé Forward	90	0	1	0.09	57.6	−9.9
Pape Gueye Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	56.2	+3.1
Georges Mikautadze Forward	76	1	0	0.34	55.2	+8.3
Rafa Marín Defender	90	0	0	0.01	54.2	+3.6
Renato Veiga Defender	90	1	0	0.21	53.3	+9.5
Tani Oluwaseyi Forward	26	0	0	0.31	51.6	–
Alberto Moleiro Midfielder	26	0	0	–	49.0	–
Santiago Mouriño Defender	90	0	0	–	49.0	−7.8
Dani Parejo Midfielder	64	0	0	0.13	48.5	–
Santi Comesaña Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	47.5	−1.5
Arnau Tenas Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.6	–
Alfonso Pedraza Defender	76	0	0	0.09	37.5	–
Tajon Buchanan Midfielder	64	0	0	0.36	35.4	−18.4
Sergi Cardona Defender	14	0	0	–	24.7	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Federico Gatti Defender	90	1	0	0.15	74.7	+21.0
Francisco Conceição Forward	45	1	0	0.32	73.7	+16.1
Manuel Locatelli Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	71.3	+17.9
João Mário Defender	74	0	0	–	65.3	+18.6
Lloyd Kelly Defender	90	0	1	–	63.5	+5.2
Daniele Rugani Defender	11	0	0	–	54.5	–
Andrea Cambiaso Midfielder	79	0	0	0.06	54.1	−0.7
Weston McKennie Midfielder	90	0	0	0.10	53.9	+8.5
Kenan Yıldız Forward	80	0	0	0.11	53.3	−9.0
Jonathan David Forward	86	0	0	0.83	53.0	+1.2
Teun Koopmeiners Midfielder	45	0	0	–	49.1	−12.8
Pierre Kalulu Defender	90	0	0	–	47.2	−1.8
Vasilije Adžić Midfielder	10	0	0	–	47.2	–
Mattia Perin Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.0	–
Dušan Vlahović Forward	10	0	0	–	46.7	–
Juan Cabal Defender	16	0	0	–	32.9	–