UEFA Champions League 25/26 · 26 Nov 2025

Olympiacos FC 3–4 Real Madrid

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Real Madrid favourites at 50%.

Real Madrid won a close one on the chances: 1.7 xG to 1.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kylian Mbappé, 95.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Santiago Hezze +30.5, Kylian Mbappé +25.6, Vinícius Júnior +18.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Nov 2025	D 1–1	v PSV Eindhoven Champions League
21 Oct 2025	L 1–6	at FC Barcelona Champions League
1 Oct 2025	L 0–2	at Arsenal Champions League
17 Sep 2025	D 0–0	v Pafos FC Champions League

23 Nov 2025	D 2–2	at Elche LaLiga
9 Nov 2025	D 0–0	at Rayo Vallecano LaLiga
4 Nov 2025	L 0–1	at Liverpool FC Champions League
1 Nov 2025	W 4–0	v Valencia LaLiga
26 Oct 2025	W 2–1	v FC Barcelona LaLiga

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Chiquinho Midfielder	28	1	0	0.17	75.8	–
Santiago Hezze Midfielder	45	0	1	–	75.2	+30.5
Gabriel Strefezza Forward	18	0	1	0.11	73.2	–
Giulian Biancone Defender	28	0	0	–	70.3	–
Ayoub El Kaabi Forward	90	1	1	0.99	66.1	+15.8
Lorenzo Pirola Defender	62	0	0	–	61.0	+9.9
Mehdi Taremi Forward	62	1	0	0.25	60.6	–
Dani García Midfielder	45	0	0	–	57.9	+13.0
Gelson Martins Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	54.0	−0.4
Christos Mouzakitis Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	52.9	+4.6
Daniel Podence Midfielder	72	0	0	0.07	48.3	−10.6
Panagiotis Retsos Defender	90	0	0	–	48.1	−8.0
Francisco Ortega Defender	90	0	0	–	42.6	−9.4
Rodinei Defender	72	0	0	–	39.6	–
Konstantinos Tzolakis Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	29.3	−7.6
Costinha Defender	18	0	0	–	28.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kylian Mbappé Forward	90	4	0	1.03	95.5	+25.6
Vinícius Júnior Forward	89	0	2	0.55	75.7	+18.9
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder	45	0	1	–	74.0	+14.8
Arda Güler Midfielder	61	0	1	–	73.9	+11.7
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	64.9	+10.3
Ferland Mendy Defender	90	0	0	–	60.2	–
Álvaro Carreras Defender	90	0	0	–	57.6	−1.6
Dani Ceballos Midfielder	45	0	0	–	56.4	+2.6
Raúl Asencio Defender	73	0	0	0.01	55.6	+5.9
Trent Alexander-Arnold Defender	90	0	0	–	49.0	−6.7
Federico Valverde Midfielder	90	0	0	–	48.9	−8.2
Jude Bellingham Midfielder	29	0	0	0.06	48.1	–
Andriy Lunin Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	44.0	–
Brahim Díaz Midfielder	17	0	0	–	34.1	–
Fran García Defender	1	0	0	–	0.0	–