Matchday

UEFA Conference League 25/26 · 11 Dec 2025

Lech Poznań 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.0 – 1.4
Actual xG
2.9 – 1.2
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Lech Poznań favourites at 52%.

Lech Poznań deserved more from the draw, creating 2.9 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Daniel Batz, 72.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Sota Kawasaki +18.6, Andreas Hanche Olsen +15.8, Timothy Ouma +12.4.

Well below it: Nikolas Veratschnig −14.6, Filip Jagiełło −10.6, Joel Pereira −9.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Lech Poznań

27 Nov 2025W 2–0v FC Lausanne-Sport Conference League
6 Nov 2025L 2–3at Rayo Vallecano Conference League
23 Oct 2025L 1–2at Lincoln Red Imps Conference League
2 Oct 2025W 4–1v SK Rapid Wien Conference League
28 Aug 2025W 2–1at KRC Genk Europa League

1. FSV Mainz 05

5 Dec 2025L 0–1v Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga
30 Nov 2025L 0–4at SC Freiburg Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025L 0–1at Universitatea Craiova Conference League
21 Nov 2025D 1–1v TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025L 0–1at Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Lech Poznań

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
João Moutinho Defender800–100.0–
Taofeek Ismaheel Midfielder2200–80.1–
Antoni Kozubal Midfielder81000.2457.6+7.0
Mateusz Skrzypczak Defender9000–57.5+0.4
Wojciech Mońka Defender9000–57.2–
Timothy Ouma Midfielder45000.0554.0+12.4
Mikael Ishak Forward90101.5253.8+3.2
Leo Bengtsson Midfielder23000.0649.4–
Bartosz Mrozek Goalkeeper9000–48.9+4.8
Michal Gurgul Defender86000.0446.1+7.8
Yannick Agnero Forward9000.2040.8–
Pablo Rodríguez Midfielder90000.7440.7−0.0
Luis Palma Midfielder6700–37.8−5.5
Joel Pereira Defender90000.0333.2−9.8
Filip Jagiełło Midfielder4500–32.1−10.6
Ali Gholizadeh Midfielder68000.0230.1–

1. FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper9000–72.5–
Andreas Hanche Olsen Defender90000.0668.6+15.8
Sota Kawasaki Midfielder59100.3559.6+18.6
Benedict Hollerbach Forward86010.2953.4+9.8
Kaishu Sano Midfielder9000–53.2+4.8
Paul Nebel Midfielder90000.0353.1−0.7
Danny da Costa Defender9000–51.4+3.7
Dominik Kohr Defender90000.0350.7+2.0
Jae-sung Lee Midfielder7100–44.2−2.8
Silvan Widmer Midfielder2700–41.0–
Arnaud Nordin Forward1900–39.8–
Nelson Weiper Forward71000.3538.7−6.1
Fabio Moreno Fell Forward800–38.7–
William Bøving Forward19000.0438.1–
Lennard Maloney Midfielder800–35.6–
Nikolas Veratschnig Defender66000.0825.9−14.6