FOOTYBOT
Matchday

UEFA Champions League 25/26 · 28 Jan 2026

PSV Eindhoven 1–2 FC Bayern München

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.2 – 1.8
Actual xG
0.7 – 1.8
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made FC Bayern München favourites at 51%.

FC Bayern München won and made the better chances: 1.8 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mauro Júnior, 88.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Mauro Júnior +35.7, Luis Díaz +11.9, Jonas Urbig +11.5.

Well below it: Nicolas Jackson −14.1, Joshua Kimmich −13.3, Dayot Upamecano −10.3.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

PSV Eindhoven

24 Jan 2026D 2–2v NAC Breda Eredivisie
21 Jan 2026L 0–3at Newcastle United Champions League
17 Jan 2026W 2–1at Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
10 Jan 2026W 5–1v Excelsior Eredivisie
21 Dec 2025W 2–1at FC Utrecht Eredivisie

FC Bayern München

24 Jan 2026L 1–2v FC Augsburg Bundesliga
21 Jan 2026W 2–0v Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Champions League
17 Jan 2026W 5–1at RB Leipzig Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026W 3–1at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
11 Jan 2026W 8–1v VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

PSV Eindhoven

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Mauro Júnior Defender9000–88.6+35.7
Noah Fernandez Midfielder4500–69.5–
Ismael Saibari Midfielder90100.0960.3+9.1
Matěj Kovář Goalkeeper9000–58.3+9.8
Joey Veerman Midfielder90000.0456.7−5.0
Dennis Man Midfielder4500–55.8+2.8
Jerdy Schouten Defender9000–53.4+1.6
Paul Wanner Midfielder90000.1153.0+6.0
Sergiño Dest Defender90000.0650.8+2.2
Ivan Perišić Midfielder82000.2449.2−8.4
Armando Obispo Defender9000–47.6−3.4
Guus Til Midfielder90010.1544.3−4.6
Couhaib Driouech Forward800–40.5–

FC Bayern München

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Harry Kane Forward28100.4094.7–
Michael Olise Midfielder28000.2069.2–
Luis Díaz Midfielder90010.0966.9+11.9
Sacha Boey Defender10000.0966.3–
Jonas Urbig Goalkeeper9000–63.6+11.5
Jamal Musiala Midfielder62100.5662.2–
Alphonso Davies Defender2800–60.3–
Lennart Karl Midfielder62010.1057.9+4.0
Tom Bischof Midfielder85000.2057.7+6.8
Aleksandar Pavlović Midfielder90000.0654.2−5.0
Joshua Kimmich Midfielder90000.0252.6−13.3
Jonathan Tah Defender9000–51.0−9.4
Serge Gnabry Midfielder28000.0846.4–
Dayot Upamecano Defender6200–45.4−10.3
Hiroki Itō Defender9000–41.9−7.9
Nicolas Jackson Forward62000.0538.9−14.1